Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ

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FXUS65 KTWC 250956

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
256 AM MST Tue Oct 25 2016

.SYNOPSIS...Strong high pressure will bring a drying trend the
remainder of the week along with above normal temperatures for
late October.


.DISCUSSION...A weak system that brought showers and isolated
thunderstorms to the area is lifting quickly northeast of the area
this morning with a clearing trend from the west.

Strong high pressure will regain control over the next 72 hours,
with above average temperatures today quickly jumping back up to
near record levels by Thursday.

Another system passing north of our area will push temperatures
down a few degrees over the weekend, but still well above average
for the end of October.

There are some signs of a stronger southern branch split off the
eastern Pacific by the middle of next week that may bring us more
seasonable conditions.


.AVIATION...Valid through 27/12Z.
VFR through the period with a clearing trend from the west this
morning. Normal diurnal surface wind trends generally less than 12
kts. Aviation discussion not updated for TAF amendments.


.FIRE WEATHER...High pressure will bring a drying trend and above
normal daytime highs through the coming weekend. 20-foot winds
will be terrain driven generally less than 15 mph.


.CLIMATE...Well above normal temperatures are forecast to continue
through the end of the month. The forecast high of 97 degrees at the
Tucson airport for Thursday, October 27 would be the latest 95 on
record by one day (the record is October 26, 2001). The rest of this
month will continue to see us challenge for the warmest October on






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