Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
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000
ACUS11 KWNS 020153
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 020153
MNZ000-NDZ000-020400-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1577
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0853 PM CDT SAT AUG 01 2015

AREAS AFFECTED...NERN ND/NWRN MN

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 020153Z - 020400Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...20 PERCENT

SUMMARY...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING OVER THE SWRN MANITOBA
VICINITY MAY SPREAD SEWD ACROSS NERN ND AND EVENTUALLY NWRN MN OVER
THE NEXT FEW HOURS-- POSSIBLY ACCOMPANIED BY LIMITED HAIL POTENTIAL
AND PERHAPS A STRONGER GUST OR TWO.

DISCUSSION...LATEST RADAR LOOP SHOWS A MATURING/SEWD-MOVING
THUNDERSTORM OVER SWRN MANITOBA ATTM JUST N OF THE INTERNATIONAL
BORDER.  OTHER SHOWERS/ISOLATED STORMS ARE DEVELOPING W AND NW OF
THIS CELL...AS A SERIES OF WEAK RIPPLES WITHIN THE FASTER /50 TO 60
KT/ BELT OF WNWLY MID-LEVEL FLOW MOVE ACROSS THE SRN CANADIAN
PRAIRIE TOWARD/INTO THE N CENTRAL CONUS.

WITH MIXED-LAYER CAPE /1000 TO 1500 J/KG/ RESIDING ACROSS THIS
REGION...ISOLATED STORMS MAY EVENTUALLY SPREAD INTO NERN ND...AIDED
BY AMPLE SHEAR OWING TO THE AFOREMENTIONED BELT OF STRONG MID-LEVEL
NWLYS.  THOUGH BOUNDARY LAYER COOLING OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS SHOULD
GRADUALLY MITIGATE APPRECIABLE WIND POTENTIAL...A MARGINAL HAIL RISK
MAY EVOLVE ACROSS THIS REGION THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS.

..GOSS/CORFIDI.. 08/02/2015

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...FGF...BIS...

LAT...LON   49179573 48909536 47909551 47369637 47469739 47659876
            48439994 49070020 49229905 49179573



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