Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Cleveland, OH

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FXUS61 KCLE 270703
AFDCLE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
303 AM EDT MON JUL 27 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE AREA FROM THE NORTH TODAY AND
TUESDAY. THIS HIGH WILL SHIFT TO THE EAST COAST ON WEDNESDAY
ALLOWING ANOTHER COLD FRONT TO APPROACH FROM THE WEST. THIS FRONT
WILL CROSS THE REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN
RETURN FOR THE END OF THE WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE NORTH TODAY. MAINLY HIGH
CLOUDS OVER THE AREA NOW AND EXPECT THESE TO BE THINNING THROUGH
THE MORNING AS THE DRIER AIR MOVES IN. CONCERNED ABOUT CU
DEVELOPMENT TODAY ESPECIALLY INLAND CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST GIVEN
RAIN SUNDAY. CU RULE SUGGESTS A FEW HOURS OF BKN CLOUDS THROUGH
THE AFTERNOON. STILL THINK ENOUGH SUN FOR PC SO WILL NOT HAVE
HIGHER THAN 60 PERCENT SKY COVER. GIVEN THE WEAK NORTHERLY FLOW
WILL GO CLOSER TO MET HIGHS FOR TODAY WHICH ARE GENERALLY A DEGREE
OR TWO LOWER THAN THE MAV.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
STILL LOOKING LIKE THE FIRST HALF OF THE WEEK WILL BE GENERALLY
DRY AND INCREASINGLY WARM AS AN UPPER RIDGE BUILDS ACROSS THE
OHIO VALLEY AND GREAT LAKES. WEDNESDAY THE UPPER RIDGE BEGINS TO
FLATTEN AS LOW PRESSURE ROTATES THROUGH NRN ONTARIO. THIS WILL
EVENTUALLY DRAG A WEAKENING COLD FRONT THROUGH WEDNESDAY
EVENING/NIGHT. WITH MOISTURE INCREASING WEDNESDAY AHEAD OF THE
FRONT...WILL BEGIN CHANCE POPS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON WITH HIGHEST
CHANCES WEST/NORTHWEST AND A SLIGHT CHANCE EAST OF A KCLE-KMFD
LINE. WILL HAVE CHANCE POPS FOR ALL WEDNESDAY EVENING...DROPPING
OFF IN THE WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT. THURSDAY SHOULD BE A RETURN TO DRY
CONDITIONS WITH THE FRONT AND ASSOCIATED MOISTURE OUT OF THE AREA
AND HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING. TEMPS SHOULD BE CLOSER TO NORMAL VS
THE UPPER 80S TO NEAR 90 TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
FAIRLY BENIGN WEATHER SHAPING UP FOR THE LATTER PART OF THE WEEK.
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA DURING
THE END OF THE WEEK INTO THE WEEKEND. EXPECTING SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE TO DOMINATE THE FORECAST AREA FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY. A
COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE EAST TOWARD THE AREA SUNDAY INTO
SUNDAY NIGHT. THIS FEATURE WILL HAVE LIMITED MOISTURE ASSOCIATED
WITH IT. EXPECTING THIS FEATURE WILL KICK OFF A FEW SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ON SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY NIGHT.
OTHERWISE...TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN IN THE 80S FOR
HIGHS THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH LOWS IN THE 60S.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
LINGERING HIGH CLOUDS WILL GRADUALLY PUSH SOUTH THIS MORNING.
EXPECTING SOME MVFR FOG AT AKRON CANTON AND YOUNGSTOWN WHERE THE
SHOWERS OCCURRED YESTERDAY. OTHERWISE...LAKE BREEZE SHOULD KICK IN
AT CLEVELAND AND ERIE. LIGHT WINDS ELSEWHERE.

OUTLOOK...SOME NON VFR POSSIBLE WITH SHRA/TS WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON/NIGHT AND FIRST THING THURSDAY MORNING.

&&

.MARINE...
LAKE IS EXPECTED TO BE QUIET THROUGH WEDNESDAY. A COLD
FRONT WILL SLIDE EAST ACROSS THE AREA WEDNESDAY NIGHT CAUSING WINDS
TO INCREASE FROM THE WEST AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS. MAY NEED A SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY WEDNESDAY NIGHT BUT WILL DIMINISH FAIRLY QUICKLY THURSDAY.
LIGHT WINDS EXPECTED MUCH OF FRIDAY.

&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...NONE.
PA...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...TK
NEAR TERM...TK
SHORT TERM...TK
LONG TERM...LOMBARDY
AVIATION...LOMBARDY
MARINE...LOMBARDY


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