Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Cleveland, OH

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Graphics & Text | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
000
FXUS61 KCLE 021014
AFDCLE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
614 AM EDT TUE JUN 2 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES WILL DRIFT EAST AND MOVE
OFF THE NEW ENGLAND COAST THURSDAY. A SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW WILL SET UP
BRINGING A GRADUAL INCREASE IN MOISTURE BY THE END OF THE WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
NO MAJOR CHANGES TO FORECAST...JUST TWEAKED CLOUD COVER AND TIMING
OF CLEARING.

ORIGINAL DISCUSSION...
CLEARING NOW INTO NW OHIO. MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW CLOUDS ERODING
FROM THE WEST AS HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER NORTHERN LOWER
MICHIGAN DRIFTS SLOWLY SOUTHEAST AND DRIER AIR FINALLY MIXES IN.
THINK IT WILL TAKE A LITTLE LONGER THAN MODELS INDICATED. SINCE
HELD ONTO CLOUDS LONGER THAN MODELS LOWERED THIS AFTERNOON TEMPS A
COUPLE OF DEGREES.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW A SHORTWAVE TROUGH NEAR THE AREA ON
SATURDAY WITH RIDGING AT THE SURFACE. THERE COULD BE SOME
SHOWERS/THUNDER SATURDAY AS THE SHORTWAVE TRANSLATES EAST. BY
SUNDAY AFTERNOON ANOTHER REINFORCING TROUGH WILL DIVE SOUTHEAST
FROM THE INTERIOR OF CANADA. THE ECMWF SUGGESTS A SURFACE LOW WILL
FORM IN RESPONSE...WITH A COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH LATE MONDAY
NIGHT. THE GFS MORE OR LESS HINTS AT THE SAME THING. HIGHEST POPS
WILL OCCUR WITH FROPA. PRIOR TO THAT...WILL CARRY 30 POPS WITH
CHANCE THUNDER WORDING. TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE CLOSE TO NORMAL
DESPITE TROUGHING ALOFT AND INCREASED CLOUDINESS.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
DRIER AIR IS BEGINNING TO WORK IN FROM THE WEST WITH A SURFACE
HIGH. HOWEVER...IMPROVEMENTS TO CIGS WILL BE GRADUAL...ESPECIALLY
IN THE EAST WHERE THERE IS A LOT MORE IN THE WAY OF LOW AND MID
LEVEL MOISTURE STILL. IN FACT...SITES SUCH AS KCAK AND KYNG THAT
SAW LIGHT RAIN LATE MONDAY NIGHT WILL LIKELY SEE CIGS DROP TO IFR
BEFORE THE DRIER AIR WORKS IN. WIND WILL ALSO BEGIN TO INCREASE
FROM THE NORTHEAST AT 10 TO 20 KNOTS BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON ACROSS
NORTHWEST OHIO. EASTERN SITES WILL BE LESS WINDY.

OUTLOOK...NON VFR POSSIBLE LATE WED INTO THU...AND AGAIN ON SAT.

&&

.MARINE...
NE TO E FLOW EXPECTED ACROSS THE LAKE OVER THE NEXT 2
DAYS WITH WAVES GENERALLY 3 FEET OR LESS EXCEPT PERHAPS IN THE
EASTERN BASIN WHERE THE WAVES COULD BUILD A BIT HIGHER. AS HIGH
PRESSURE SLIDES EAST OF THE REGION...THE WIND WILL BECOME SOUTHEAST
ACROSS THE LAKE...AND WAVE ACTION WILL FURTHER DECREASE. LATE FRIDAY
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE LAKE AND THE WIND WILL BECOME
NORTHEAST...BUT AGAIN THE WAVES SHOULD REMAIN BELOW 3 FEET.

&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...NONE.
PA...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...DJB
NEAR TERM...DJB
SHORT TERM...DJB
LONG TERM...MAYERS
AVIATION...MAYERS
MARINE...MAYERS



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.