577
FNUS73 KMPX 141406
FWSMPX

Spot Forecast for Lowry WMA...MNDNR Wildlife
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
906 AM CDT Tue May 14 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CDT on May 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

Please contact our office if you have questions or concerns with
this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...Temperatures will rise into the lower 70s today and
RH will drop to near 30 percent this afternoon. East-southeast
winds around 10 mph expected throughout the day.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Temperature.........60 at ignition...Max 72.
RH..................46 percent at ignition...Min 31 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds southeast at 10 mph at
                    ignition...otherwise Southeast winds 10 to 13
                    mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair /16500 knot-ft/ at ignition.
                    Max...excellent /68200 knot-ft/.
Mixing height.......1500 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 5000 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....East 13 to 16 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth at ignition...max 5.

TIME (CDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM
Sky cover.......MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............60  63  66  68  70  71  72  72  71  70  66  62
RH..............46  43  38  36  33  31  33  31  32  35  40  46
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  E   E
20 FT wind spd..10  10  12  10  12  12  13  13  13  12  9   9
20 FT wind gust.14  14  14  16  16  17  16  15  15  15  16  15
Mix hgt (kft)...1.5 2.4 3.5 4.2 4.5 4.9 5.0 4.9 5.0 4.1 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.13  13  14  14  14  15  15  16  15  16  14  14
Haines index....5   5   5   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (60-70 percent).
Temperature.........Min 49.
RH..................Max 69 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 9 to 13 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (65200 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (5500 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 14 to 17 mph.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers in the morning, then rain showers and
                    slight chance of thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
Temperature.........Max 67.
RH..................Min 58 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 10 to 13 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (6600 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (66500 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......3500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 15 to 22 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

$$
Forecaster...Grunzke
Requested by...Jason Strege
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2414139.0/MPX
.DELDT 05/14/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL jason.strege@state.mn.us