477
FNUS73 KMPX 141105
FWSMPX

Spot Forecast for East Ripple Rx burn...MNDNR
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
605 AM CDT Tue May 14 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CDT on May 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

Please contact our office if you have questions or concerns with
this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...Temperatures will rise to the mid 70s today and RH
will drop to 25 to 30 percent. East winds around 10 mph expected
throughout the day.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
Temperature.........61 at ignition...Max 75.
RH..................49 percent at ignition...Min 28 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds southeast at 8 mph at
                    ignition...otherwise Southeast winds 8 to 12
                    mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair /17100 knot-ft/ at ignition.
                    Max...excellent /74400 knot-ft/.
Mixing height.......1700 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 5300 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 12 to 16 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth at ignition...max 5.

TIME (CDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM
Sky cover.......MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............61  65  68  71  73  74  75  75  74  73  69  65
RH..............49  41  37  32  30  29  28  28  29  31  37  45
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  E   E
20 FT wind spd..8   8   10  9   10  10  10  12  10  12  8   8
20 FT wind gust.13  13  13  15  15  16  15  16  15  15  15  14
Mix hgt (kft)...1.7 2.8 3.8 4.3 4.8 5.0 5.3 5.2 5.2 4.9 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.12  13  14  14  15  15  16  16  17  15  13  13
Haines index....5   5   5   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (60-70 percent).
Temperature.........Min 54.
RH..................Max 77 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 8 to 12 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph
                    overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (78100 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (5300 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 13 to 17 mph.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers in the morning, then rain showers and
                    chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Temperature.........Max 68.
RH..................Min 63 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 9 to 13 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (6100 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (45500 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......2400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 14 to 22 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

$$
Forecaster...Borghoff
Requested by...Nicholas Trauba
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2413943.0/MPX
.DELDT 05/14/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL nicholas.trauba@state.mn.us