Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Caribou, ME

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FXUS61 KCAR 221600
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
1200 PM EDT MON SEP 22 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE WILL CONSOLIDATE IN THE MARITIMES AND MOVE AWAY TO
THE NORTHEAST TODAY WHILE PULLING A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE REGION.
ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION TUESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE
THEN BUILDS ACROSS THE REGION TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY.&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
1140 AM UPDATE: LATEST RADAR REF IMAGERY SHOWS THAT THE FIRST AREA
OF SHWRS HAS MOVED E INTO NB PROV. OTHER...MORE ISOLD TO SCT SHWRS
HAVE FORMED JUST AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT ACROSS ERN PTNS OF THE FA
AND OTHER ISOLD TO SCT SHWRS MAY FORM LATER THIS AFTN WITH THE
PASSAGE OF THE UPPER TROF DURING THE MID TO LATE AFTN HRS.
SUBSEQUENTLY...WE KEPT A MENTION OF ISOLD SHWRS S AND SCT SHWRS
N FOR THE REST OF THE AFTN. TEMPS HAVE BEEN DIFFICULT TO KEEP UP
WITH...SPCLY OVR THE NE WHERE THE DELAY OF THE COLD FRONT HAS
ALLOWED EVEN NERN ME LCTNS TO REACH 70 DEG.

ORGNL DISC: A BAND OF RAIN IN WESTERN AREAS IS EXPECTED TO MOVE
THROUGH EASTERN AREAS DURING THE MID MORNING HOURS TODAY. THIS
AFTERNOON WILL THEN BE BREEZY WITH ONLY SPOTTY SHOWERS ACROSS THE
NORTH AND DRYING DOWNEAST. THE DENSE FOG ADVISORY WAS LIFTED AS A
SOUTHWESTERLY BREEZE IS PICKING UP AND CLEARING THE FOG.

THE SUBTROPICAL LOW TO OUR EAST WILL QUICKLY LIFT NORTHEAST AND
AWAY EARLY THIS MORNING. LOW PRESSURE IN THE SAINT LAWRENCE VALLEY
WILL LIFT NORTH TODAY PULLING A COLD FRONT INTO THE AREA. HUMID
AIR HAS RESULTED IN SOME DENSE FOG ACROSS EASTERN AREAS EARLY
THIS MORNING. FOG IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE LATER THIS MORNING AS
WINDS INCREASE BEHIND DEPARTING LOW PRESSURE. A BAND OF SHOWERS
WILL CROSS THE NORTH AROUND MID MORNING IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE
APPROACHING COLD FRONT. THE MIDDAY WILL THEN BE WINDY AND MILD
BEHIND THE FRONT. COOLER AND DRIER AIR WILL THEN FILTER INTO THE
AREA LATER IN THE AFTERNOON. SKIES WILL BE PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY
OVER THE NORTH AND MOSTLY SUNNY DOWNEAST THIS AFTERNOON. TONIGHT
WILL BE PARTLY CLOUDY, BREEZY AND CHILLY AS THE GRADIENT BETWEEN
LOW PRESSURE WELL TO THE NORTHEAST AND HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING INTO
THE MID ATLANTIC REGION CONTINUES TO PUSH COOL AIR INTO THE AREA.
SKIES WILL BE MOSTLY CLEAR DOWNEAST. SOME MOISTURE POOLED IN THE
UPPER TROUGH WILL BRING PARTIAL CLOUDINESS ACROSS THE NORTH.&&

&&

.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION TUESDAY WITH PARTLY CLOUDY TO
MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS ACROSS
NORTHERN AREAS...WITH PARTLY CLOUDY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES
DOWNEAST. HIGH PRESSURE THEN BUILDS ACROSS THE REGION TUESDAY
NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT WITH PARTLY CLOUDY/MOSTLY CLEAR
SKIES NORTH AND MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES DOWNEAST. TEMPERATURES WILL BE
AT SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL LEVELS TUESDAY/WEDNESDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA THURSDAY
THROUGH SUNDAY WITH GENERALLY PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES NORTH AND PARTLY
CLOUDY/MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES DOWNEAST. A COLD FRONT COULD BRING A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS TO NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA
SUNDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL BE AT SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS
THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /14Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
NEAR TERM: IFR/LIFR CONDITIONS EARLY THIS MORNING WILL IMPROVE TO
MVFR LATE THIS MORNING THEN VFR THIS AFTERNOON. VFR CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT. GUSTY WINDS TODAY AND TONIGHT WITH COLD
ADVECTION MAY RESULT IN TURBULENCE.

SHORT TERM: OCCASIONAL MVFR CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE
NORTH AND MOUNTAINS TUESDAY. OTHERWISE...VFR CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: FOG WILL DISSIPATE EARLY THIS MORNING AS WINDS QUICKLY
INCREASE BEHIND DEPARTING LOW PRESSURE. AN SCA WILL BE UP TODAY
INTO TONIGHT FOR WINDS GUSTING OVER 25 KT AND SEAS OVER 5 FT.

SHORT TERM: SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS COULD PERSIST EARLY
TUESDAY. CONDITIONS ARE THEN EXPECTED TO BE BELOW SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORY LEVELS TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 AM EDT TUESDAY FOR ANZ050>052.

&&

$$
NEAR TERM...VJN
SHORT TERM...NORCROSS
LONG TERM...NORCROSS
AVIATION...VJN/NORCROSS
MARINE...VJN/NORCROSS








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