Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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000
FXUS65 KFGZ 251645
AFDFGZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
945 AM MST SUN JAN 25 2015

.SYNOPSIS...EXPECT DRY AND RELATIVELY MILD WEATHER ACROSS NORTHERN
ARIZONA TODAY. STARTING MONDAY...A SUB-TROPICAL AIRMASS WILL MOVE
INTO ARIZONA...RESULTING IN PERIODS OF MAINLY RAIN SHOWERS FROM LATE
MONDAY AND INTO TUESDAY. FAIR WEATHER RETURNS WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY
BEFORE ANOTHER CHANCE OF SHOWERS ARRIVES LATE IN THE WEEK AND INTO
NEXT WEEKEND.

&&

.DISCUSSION...12Z MODEL RUNS LOOK ABOUT THE SAME AS THE LAST FEW
RUNS AND NO UPDATES ARE NEEDED THIS MORNING.

ARIZONA WILL REMAIN UNDER EAST TO NORTHEAST FLOW TODAY AND PERHAPS
EVEN TOMORROW...AS THE LOW HAS SLOWED DOWN BY ABOUT 4-6 HOURS. ALL
AREAS WILL SEE ABOVE NORMAL HIGH TEMPERATURES TODAY...BUT THIS WILL
BE ENHANCED SOUTH AND WEST OF THE RIM...WHERE THE EAST WINDS ARE
DOWNSLOPING. SUB-TROPICAL MOISTURE ARRIVES LATE MONDAY...WITH RAIN
SHOWERS MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY.

THE END OF THE WEEK LOOKS TO BE WET AS WELL...BUT THERE ARE STILL
SOME DIFFERENCES CONCERNING THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME COLDER AIR...STAY
TUNED.

&&

.AVIATION...FOR THE 18Z PACKAGE...VFR CONDITIONS FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS UNDER MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES THROUGH 12Z...THEN SCT-BKN250 WILL
MOVE NORTHWARD INTO THE AREA. SURFACE WINDS N-NE 10G20KT ALONG AND
SOUTHWEST OF THE MOGOLLON RIM...LIGHT AND VARIABLE ELSEWHERE.
AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR TAF AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC.....PETERSON
AVIATION...MAS

FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF






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