Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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000
FXUS65 KFGZ 011639
AFDFGZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
939 AM MST WED OCT 1 2014

.SYNOPSIS...A WEAK TROUGH WILL BRUSH THROUGH UTAH THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING WITH SOME CLOUD COVER AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF LIGHT SHOWERS
OVER THE ARIZONA/UTAH BORDER REGION. OTHERWISE...DRY THROUGH THE
FIRST HALF OF NEXT WEEK. HIGH TEMPERATURES THIS WEEKEND WILL WARM TO
ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN.

&&

.DISCUSSION...FORECAST IS ON TRACK FOR TODAY WITH NO UPDATES NEEDED
THIS MORNING. TROUGH PASSING NEAR 4-CORNERS WILL BRING AN INCREASE
IN WEST WIND TODAY WITH A FEW SHOWERS OR STORMS POSSIBLE IN THE
NORTHEAST CORNER OF THE STATE.

.PREV DISCUSSION...(445 AM MST)...TODAY...A FAST MOVING TROUGH OF
LOW PRESSURE WILL DROP EAST SOUTHEAST FROM THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL
ROCKIES...JUST PASSING EXTREME NORTHERN ARIZONA TO THE NORTH. THIS
SYSTEM WILL BRING A COOLER AIR MASS TO THE REGION ALONG WITH ISOLATED
SHOWERS NEAR THE BLACK MESA AND CHUSKA MOUNTAINS THIS AFTERNOON AMD
EVENING.

OTHERWISE COOL AND DRY CONDITIONS TODAY AND THURSDAY DUE TO A
NORTHERLY FLOW ACROSS THE REGION. FROM THE MOGOLLON RIM
SOUTH...GUSTY NORTHEAST SURFACE WINDS ARE FORECAST TO DEVELOP.

FRIDAY THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY...AN UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE
WILL BUILD INTO THE SOUTHWEST STATES. EXPECT WARMER AFTERNOON HIGH
TEMPERATURES...CLOSER TO SEASONAL VALUES...AND DRIER HUMIDITY LEVELS
THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF NEXT WEEK.
&&

.AVIATION...FOR THE 18Z PACKAGE...EXPECT SCT-BKN SC/CU WITH BASES
FROM 12-14 KFT MSL ALONG AND NORTH OF THE I-40 CORRIDOR THROUGH THE
PERIOD. MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES ELSEWHERE. ISOLD -SHRA NEAR THE FOUR
CORNERS FROM 21Z-03Z. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC.....JJ/TC
AVIATION...MAS

FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF



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