Area Forecast Discussion
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FXUS64 KLUB 300437
AFDLUB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
1137 PM CDT FRI JUL 29 2016

.AVIATION...
VFR outside of TS. Inserted TEMPO TS at all terminals before
daybreak for numerous storms continually developing and moving SSE
across the SW Panhandle. These storms extended from 70W-30N PVW
at 1130 PM behind a gust front with northerly gusts of 20-40
knots. Overall coverage of TS should scale back by 08Z before
ending around daybreak.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 841 PM CDT FRI JUL 29 2016/

UPDATE...
Updated to boost PoPs later this evening and overnight mainly
along and north of Highway 70. Also lowered min temps a few
degrees in these areas for anticipated precip and/or cooling
potential from outflow.

Recent maturation of storms into an MCS from near Boise City
southwest to Fort Sumner should continue to benefit from improving
southerly inflow/LLJ development. The exception to this appears to
be along the southwestern half of this MCS where IR cloud top
cooling has been anemic compared to the NW Panhandle coincident
with a maximum in MLCAPE. Extrapolation from regional radars and
recent HRRR trends favor isolated-to-scattered storms arriving
first in our NW zones near 10 PM before a more solidified area of
storms affects areas farther east. Severe threat looks to remain
isolated at best with wind the sole threat for now.

&&

.LUB Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
None.
&&

$$

93


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