Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL

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FXUS62 KMLB 230839
AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
339 AM EST Mon Jan 23 2017

.DISCUSSION...
...Windy Conditions Expected Today...
...Boating Conditions Will Remain Very Hazardous with a Gale
Warning in Effect Through This Evening...

Today-Tonight...Very windy conditions will exist across the area
today as a strong westerly flow ushers in drier/cooler air behind
the front. A Wind Advisory goes into effect late this morning and
continues through sunset for westerly winds 20 to 25 mph with
occasional gusts to 40 mph. Lingering low clouds and areas of light
rain/isolated showers may continue to push eastward across the
region through early afternoon as axis of low aloft pushes across
the state. Rain chances should then end later in the day, with skies
gradually clearing into the evening. Temperatures will be closer to
normal with highs in the low to mid 70s, and lows in the upper 40s
to low 50s over much of the region tonight.

Tue-Wed...A high amplitude ridge will transit the gulf and state
of FL during midweek, bringing mostly clear skies and pleasant
temperatures. Highs will average in the L-M70s with morning lows
in the M-U40s inland and L50s islands.

Extended...As the midweek ridge moves down stream of the region a
weak frontal boundary will pass quickly during Thu, accompanied by
iso-sct showers. Rainfall in affected areas should be on the low
side (A few hundredths of an inch or so) with modest cooling
after the fropa Thu night. Effect of post frontal drying with a
slow rebound in temps will occur the remainder of the workweek.
cloudiness will increase from the top down during Sat and into Sun
as a upstream wave over the gulf approaches the area. A
mentionable rain chc is indicated by Sun with sufficient moisture
and lift ascd with the wave leading to some light to moderate
showers over the area into at least early next week.

&&

.AVIATION...
Generally VFR with ceilings between FL035-FL045 expected
into this morning and early afternoon. Iso/Sct light showers will be
possible, but significant reductions in vis/cig from this activity
will be limited. Very windy conditions expected from late morning
into the afternoon, with west winds up to 20-23 knots gusting to
around 30-32 knots.

&&

.MARINE...
Today-Tonight...Very hazardous boating conditions will continue
across the waters today, as strong W/NW winds up to 25-30 knots and
frequent gusts to gale force persist. This will continue to produce
seas up to 9-12 feet offshore. A Gale Warning remains in effect over
the waters through late this evening and will transition to a SCA
through the remainder of the overnight.

Tue-Wed...Departing low pressure will continue to influence the
waters Tue with lingering seas remaining hazardous...esp over the
outer waters during the day Tue. Conditions will slowly improve
through midweek as winds and seas diminish thanks to high pressure
transiting over the area.

Extended...Next passing front during Thu will bring winds and
seas to headline criteria once again late in the workweek and
perhaps Sat over the outer waters.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DAB  71  48  70  45 /  20   0   0   0
MCO  72  51  72  48 /  20   0   0   0
MLB  74  49  72  48 /  20   0   0   0
VRB  74  52  73  50 /  30   0   0   0
LEE  70  49  70  49 /  20   0   0   0
SFB  72  50  71  47 /  20   0   0   0
ORL  72  51  71  51 /  20   0   0   0
FPR  75  49  73  48 /  30   0   0   0

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...Wind Advisory from 10 AM this morning to 6 PM EST this evening
     for Coastal Volusia County-Indian River-Inland Volusia
     County-Martin-Northern Brevard County-Northern Lake County-
     Okeechobee-Orange-Osceola-Seminole-Southern Brevard County-
     Southern Lake County-St. Lucie.

AM...Small Craft Advisory from 11 PM this evening to 9 AM EST Tuesday
     for Flagler Beach to Volusia-Brevard County Line 0-20 nm-
     Flagler Beach to Volusia-Brevard County Line 20-60 nm-
     Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 0-20 nm-Sebastian Inlet to
     Jupiter Inlet 20-60 nm-Volusia-Brevard County Line to
     Sebastian Inlet 0-20 nm-Volusia-Brevard County Line to
     Sebastian Inlet 20-60 nm.

     Gale Warning until 11 PM EST this evening for Flagler Beach to
     Volusia-Brevard County Line 0-20 nm-Flagler Beach to
     Volusia-Brevard County Line 20-60 nm-Sebastian Inlet to
     Jupiter Inlet 0-20 nm-Sebastian Inlet to Jupiter Inlet 20-
     60 nm-Volusia-Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 0-20
     nm-Volusia-Brevard County Line to Sebastian Inlet 20-60 nm.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Weitlich
LONG TERM....Pendergrast



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