Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
000
FXUS64 KMOB 270939
AFDMOB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
439 AM CDT FRI MAR 27 2015

.SHORT TERM (TODAY AND TONIGHT)...A COLD FRONT JUST ENTERING
NORTHWEST PORTIONS OF THE AREA WILL RAPIDLY MOVE EAST ACROSS THE
AREA THIS MORNING AS AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH DIGS ACROSS THE EASTERN
STATES. AHEAD OF THE FRONT...A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS ARE MOVING
EASTWARD ACROSS THE GULF COAST. THEY WILL BE ALMOST OUT OF THE AREA
BY DAYBREAK AND WILL NOT AMOUNT TO MUCH. SKIES WILL CLEAR FROM THE
NORTHWEST THIS MORNING AS A DRIER AND COOLER AIRMASS MOVES INTO THE
AREA. A SHORTWAVE MOVING DOWN THE BACKSIDE OF THE UPPER TROUGH WILL
MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN STATES THIS AFTERNOON BRINGING PARTLY
CLOUDY SKIES ACROSS THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE AREA. HOWEVER...DRY
CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE. HIGHS TODAY WILL ONLY REACH THE LOW 60S
ACROSS THE NORTHERN ZONES WITH MID AND UPPER 60S ALONG THE COAST.
TEMPERATURES TONIGHT WILL BE MUCH COLDER THAN WE HAVE SEEN LATELY
WITH LOWS IN THE MID 30S INLAND TO UPPER 40S ALONG THE COAST. 13/JC

(SATURDAY AND SUNDAY)...A SFC HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL DRIFT EAST
ACROSS THE REGION SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. UPPER TROF MOVING JUST EAST OF
THE AREA ON SATURDAY...BUT A WEAK PIECE OF ENERGY ALOFT WILL SWING
DOWN ACROSS NORTHERN AND CENTRAL ALABAMA DURING THE DAY SATURDAY.
THIS WILL MAINTAIN SOME CLOUD COVER ON SATURDAY...BUT LOWER LEVELS
WILL BE FAIRLY DRY SO WE WILL NOT BE PUTTING ANY RAINFALL IN THE FCST
IN ASSOCIATION WITH THIS FEATURE. BY SUNDAY FCST AREA WILL BE ON THE
WESTERN SIDE OF THE SFC RIDGE WITH GULF RETURN FLOW BEGINNING BUT NO
REAL DYNAMICS ALOFT SO DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE ON SUNDAY. HIGH
TEMPS WILL CONTINUE TO BE IN THE 60S OVER THE ENTIRE AREA ON
SATURDAY...BUT MODERATING SLIGHTLY TO THE UPPER 60S AND LOWER 70S
ON SUNDAY WITH THE RETURN FLOW. LOW TEMPS SATURDAY NIGHT GENERALLY IN
THE 40S. 12/DS

&&

.LONG TERM (MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)...ANOTHER WEAK SFC FRONT WILL
MOVE INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN STATES ON MONDAY...STALLING AND GRADUALLY
DISSIPATING FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD AS HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE
GRADUALLY REBUILDS IN FROM THE EAST. WITH THE WEAKENING SFC BOUNDARY
AND OCCASIONAL DISTURBANCES IN THE UPPER FLOW MOVING ACROSS THE
REGION...AN UNSETTLED WEATHER PATTERN IS EXPECTED FOR MOST OF THE
LONG TERM PERIOD...WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY. DAYTIME MAX TEMPS IN THE 70S MONDAY THROUGH
WEDNESDAY...APPROACHING LOWER 80S SOME LOCATIONS BY THURSDAY.
OVERNIGHT LOWS RANGING FROM MID 50S INLAND TO LOWER 60S COASTAL EACH
NIGHT. 12/DS

&&

.MARINE...STRONG NORTHERLY FLOW WILL DEVELOP IN THE WAKE OF A COLD
FRONT THIS MORNING AND A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT.
NORTHERLY FLOW WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH
SATURDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE AREA. A LIGHT SOUTHERLY
FLOW DEVELOPS EARLY NEXT WEEK AND CONTINUES THROUGH MIDWEEK. 13/JC

&&

.AVIATION...27.12Z ISSUANCE...IFR/MVFR CIGS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
MID-MORNING IN THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT. VFR CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP
BY LATE MORNING AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD.
13/JC

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MOBILE      67  41  66  47  68 /  10  00  00  10  10
PENSACOLA   67  45  65  47  66 /  10  00  00  10  10
DESTIN      67  47  63  50  63 /  10  00  05  10  05
EVERGREEN   63  37  62  40  70 /  10  00  00  05  05
WAYNESBORO  64  36  64  43  71 /  10  00  10  10  10
CAMDEN      62  37  62  41  71 /  10  00  10  10  05
CRESTVIEW   66  38  65  41  67 /  10  00  00  10  05

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 1 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR
     CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY-COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA
     FL OUT 20 NM-COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA
     MS OUT 20 NM-MISSISSIPPI SOUND-NORTHERN MOBILE BAY-
     PENSACOLA BAY SYSTEM-PERDIDO BAY-SOUTHERN MOBILE BAY.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR WATERS
     FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-WATERS FROM
     PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM.

&&

$$



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.