Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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FXUS64 KMRX 271851
AFDMRX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
251 PM EDT THU AUG 27 2015

.SHORT TERM...(TONIGHT AND FRIDAY)...SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WAS
CENTERED OVER THE OHIO VALLEY THIS AFTERNOON. NORTHEASTERLY WINDS
WERE GENERALLY LIGHT AND TEMPERATURES WERE GENERALLY IN THE 70S AND
80S. A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE FOR PARTS OF THE
APPALACHIANS.

A MOSTLY CLEAR NIGHT ON TAP ALONG WITH CALM WINDS SHOULD ALLOW FOR
GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING AGAIN TONIGHT. THERE MAY BE PATCHY FOG THAT
DEVELOPS CLOSER TO SUNRISE IN PARTS OF SW NC AND SW VA AND NE TN.

FRIDAY IS SHAPING UP TO BE A NEAR CARBON COPY OF TODAY...HOWEVER IT
WILL BE A COUPLE OF DEGREES WARMER FOR ALL LOCATIONS. THERE COULD
STILL BE A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS ALONG THE SPINE OF THE MOUNTAINS
TOMORROW BUT CONFIDENCE IS RATHER LOW.

.LONG TERM...(TOMORROW NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY)...
THE DRY PATTERN WILL START SEEING CRACKS IN THE ARMOR STARTING AS
EARLY AS TOMORROW NIGHT AS MOIST SOUTHERLY FLOW RETURNS AND A UPPER
LEVEL TROUGH MOVES TOWARDS OUR AREA. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE AROUND THE AREA DURING THE AFTERNOONS.
CURRENTLY LOOKS LIKE THE BEST COVERAGE WILL LIKELY BE ON SUNDAY.
MODELS START TO DIVERGE WITH THE STRENGTH OF THE RIDGE AND LINGERING
MOISTURE OVER THE AREA. WILL STICK WITH SLIGHT CHANCES ON AND OFF
THROUGH THE REST OF THE FORECAST, BUT OVERALL LOOKS TO BE RELATIVELY
DRY FOR MOST PEOPLE MOVING INTO NEXT WEEK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CHATTANOOGA AIRPORT, TN             65  87  68  86 /   0  10  10  30
KNOXVILLE MCGHEE TYSON AIRPORT, TN  63  85  67  85 /   0  10  10  30
OAK RIDGE, TN                       63  85  66  85 /   0  10  10  30
TRI CITIES AIRPORT, TN              58  83  60  84 /  10  10  10  20

&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...NONE.
TN...NONE.
VA...NONE.
&&

$$

AC/ABM


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