Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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658
FXUS64 KSHV 261000
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
500 AM CDT FRI AUG 26 2016

.DISCUSSION...
Several sites with low low clouds at a few hundred feet in lieu of
what would otherwise be thick fog if there were fair skies. The
2-4 inch rain areas mainly are seeing these low clouds, and it`s
the amount of mid and high clouds that are keeping any major fog
areas from developing over our very wet ground. This Easterly`s
surge of high pwat moisture is still lying over the Four State
Area and we will no doubt see rain just about anywhere today, but
perhaps being quite worked over the East will see less to start
and finish. We have likely wording mainly over our Western half or
so. We had a pretty good MCV last night that really just piled on
the rain totals late in the day and it basically took I-49 North.
That MCV has lifted past Texarkana and has some light shower
activity rotating even at this hour over Southwest Arkansas. Also
we have some interacting left over surface boundaries over Deep
East Texas likewise producing a few light showers at this time.
Regional radar mosaics are showing a good inflow of Thunderstorms
off the Gulf of Mexico stretching from Galveston to Sabine pass,
moving the N/NW.

The tropical plume will continue to work North and West running
up along the stationary front over OK/N TX and will bring rain to
areas to our NW especially in the coming days. So our chance for
rain will be diminishing a good bit in the coming days, but we
will hang on to a slight chance everyday into next week. Also to
note the NHC is watching a disturbance south of New Orleans that
is interesting under the plume, but only has a 10 percent chance
for cyclone development. We will also keep an eye on the
disturbance on the NE coast of Cuba sporting a likely chance over
the next 5 days to spin up. /24/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  91  74  92  74 /  50  20  30  20
MLU  93  73  92  74 /  50  20  20  10
DEQ  88  72  90  72 /  60  30  30  10
TXK  89  73  90  73 /  60  30  30  10
ELD  91  73  91  72 /  50  20  20  10
TYR  88  73  90  74 /  60  20  30  20
GGG  90  73  91  74 /  60  20  30  20
LFK  90  74  90  75 /  60  20  30  20

&&

.SHV Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

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