Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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FXUS64 KSHV 030455 AAA
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1155 PM CDT MON MAY 2 2016

.AVIATION...
CIGS HAVE DIMINISHED THIS EVENING...WITH THIS TREND EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE OVERNIGHT OVER DEEP E TX/NCNTRL LA...BUT ADDITIONAL VFR
CIGS ARE BEGINNING TO REDEVELOP OVER SCNTRL AR AND SHOULD CONTINUE
TO FILL IN SWD THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. THIS WILL PRIMARILY
AFFECT THE ELD/MLU TERMINALS...BUT THESE CIGS MAY LOWER AND BECOME
MVFR BY/AFTER 12Z TUESDAY AND PERSIST THROUGH MIDDAY. SHOULD SEE
THESE CIGS LIFT/BECOME VFR BY MIDDAY...WITH AN ADDITIONAL SCT CU
FIELD EXPECTED TO DEVELOP FARTHER W OVER SE OK/SW AR/NE TX AND
SHIFT SWD THROUGH THE DAY. WHILE THIS CU SHOULD DIMINISH TUESDAY
EVENING...SHOULD SEE ELEVATED AC/CIRRUS CIGS DEVELOP/SPREAD ESE
OVER MUCH OF THE REGION AHEAD OF THE NEXT UPPER TROUGH TO DIG SE
INTO THE SRN PLAINS/MS VALLEY. LT NNW WINDS TONIGHT WILL INCREASE
TO 7-10KTS AFTER 15Z. /15/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1000 PM CDT MON MAY 2 2016/

DISCUSSION...
DRY AIR IS QUICKLY ADVECTING INTO THE AREA FROM THE NORTHWEST BUT
SURFACE DEWPOINT DEPRESSIONS ARE STILL QUITE LOW SOUTHEAST OF
A LINE FROM TOLEDO BEND TO MONROE. A COUPLE OF ISOLATED SHOWERS
MAY STILL DEVELOP BUT OVERALL...RAIN CHANCES ARE ENDING RAPIDLY.
WILL MAINTAIN SLIGHT CHANCE POPS IN OUR FAR SERN ZONES OF N CNTRL
LA THROUGH 06Z TONIGHT AND THEN A DRY FCST AFTERWARDS.
OTHERWISE...A GENERALLY QUIET NIGHT IS ANTICIPATED AS CLOUD COVER
GRADUALLY DECREASES FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST. A FEW OTHER MINOR
EDITS WERE MADE IN THE EXTREME SHORT- TERM BASED ON LATEST OBS.

UPDATED TEXT PRODUCTS HAVE BEEN SENT. /09/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  55  72  54  78 /  10  10   0   0
MLU  59  73  53  78 /  10  10   0   0
DEQ  50  71  49  78 /   0  10   0   0
TXK  53  71  52  78 /  10  10   0   0
ELD  55  72  52  77 /  10  10   0   0
TYR  52  71  54  78 /  10  10   0   0
GGG  53  71  52  78 /  10  10   0   0
LFK  56  74  53  80 /  10  10   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

15



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