Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
Issued by NWS

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000
ACUS11 KWNS 292036
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 292036
WIZ000-MIZ000-MNZ000-292130-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1501
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0336 PM CDT TUE JUL 29 2014

AREAS AFFECTED...NE MN INTO WI

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 292036Z - 292130Z

PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...5 PERCENT

SUMMARY...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK SOUTHEAST
FROM NE MN ACROSS MUCH OF WI THIS AFTERNOON. A FEW STORMS MAY
BRIEFLY PRODUCE HAIL APPROACHING 1 INCH. A WATCH IS NOT EXPECTED.

DISCUSSION...LOW-TOPPED CONVECTION WILL CONTINUE TO TRACK S/SE FROM
THE MN ARROWHEAD ACROSS MUCH OF WI THIS AFTERNOON. WEAK
INSTABILITY...BULK SHEAR VALUES LESS THAN 30 KT AND POOR MIDLEVEL
LAPSE RATES WILL LIMIT THUNDERSTORM ORGANIZATION AND UPDRAFT
INTENSITY. A FEW STORMS MAY BRIEFLY PRODUCE MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL
BUT THE THREAT IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN LOW. AS SUCH...A WATCH IS NOT
ANTICIPATED.

..LEITMAN/GOSS.. 07/29/2014

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MQT...GRB...MKX...DLH...ARX...MPX...

LAT...LON   48449250 46989007 45258775 44608738 43848758 43488800
            43188895 43338995 43689083 44339152 44969217 45949273
            46859297 47789325 48309307 48449250



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