Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Miami, FL

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FXUS62 KMFL 252346

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Miami FL
746 PM EDT Tue Oct 25 2016

Northeast winds with VFR conditions will prevail through the night
across all the terminals. Pressure gradient strengthens Wednesday as
high pressure builds over the region. This will allow for northeast
to easterly winds to increase with gust up to 25 knots Wednesday
afternoon. The weather will remain dry on all TAFs sites with VFR


Quiet evening weather-wise, as high pressure to the north
continues to cause breezy east and northeasterly winds.
Temperatures should range from mid 60s northwest to low 70s east
coast overnight. No rain is anticipated until Wednesday evening at
the earliest.


.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 428 PM EDT Tue Oct 25 2016/

Dry day today as high pressure dominates, PWATs are below 0.8
inches, dewpoint temperature holding around 60 degrees, and deep
inversion exists at 850 mb. Theres some CI streaming overhead from
the west with SC pushing in from Atlantic on onshore flow.
Temperatures have topped out in the low 80s, a few degrees below
average for late October. With deep-layer ridging centered north
of the region, breezy northeast winds are prevailing.

Aforementioned weather will generally hold Wednesday, although
winds will increase as reinforcing surge of high pressure arrives
from the north. Moisture, at least at the low-levels, will also
increase, with a few showers possible by Wednesday night over
far southern portions of the area. These showers will become
slightly greater in coverage and northern extent on Thursday, with
the remote possibility of a thunderstorm over extreme southern
zones. Expect northwestern 2/3rds of CWA to remain dry through the
short term, as high pressure suppresses moisture to the south.

Reinforcing surges of high pressure/dry air Friday into the
weekend will keep rain chances limited mainly to Miami-Dade county
into the weekend. Temperatures will range from low to mid 80s for
maxima to upper 60s to mid 70s for minima...averaging out to near
normal. Breezy east-northeast winds will prevail with little in
the way of weather pattern change anticipated. Although ECMWF
significantly by weekend, both models agree on dry weather by the
start of next week.

Small craft advisory has been expanded to include all marine zones
minus Lake Okeechobee Wednesday and Thursday. Winds will exceed 20
knots by late tonight, and seas will increase to 5 to 7 feet,
higher in the Gulf Stream, by later on Wednesday. Conditions may
improve slightly this weekend, but it`s more likely than not that
advisory level conditions will prevail.

Hoisted high risk of rips statements for Atlantic waters,
effective Wednesday, as strong onshore flow will increase by
morning. The high risk of rip currents may persist through the
remainder of the week. &&

West Palm Beach  73  84  77  84 /   0  10  10  10
Fort Lauderdale  74  84  76  82 /   0  10  20  10
Miami            73  84  75  83 /   0  10  20  20
Naples           65  87  69  86 /   0   0  10  10


FL...High Rip Current Risk from 5 AM EDT Wednesday through Thursday
     morning for FLZ168-172-173.

AM...Small Craft Advisory until 8 PM EDT Friday for AMZ630-651-671.

     Small Craft Advisory from 2 AM Wednesday to 8 PM EDT Friday for

GM...Small Craft Advisory until 8 PM EDT Friday for GMZ676.

     Small Craft Advisory from 2 AM Wednesday to 8 PM EDT Friday for


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