Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL

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FXUS62 KMLB 260217
AFDMLB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
915 PM EST THU DEC 25 2014

.DISCUSSION...
CURRENT-OVERNIGHT...CLEARING TAKING PLACE THIS EVENING NORTH OF A
LINE FROM NEAR KISSIMMEE TO TITUSVILLE. WILL SEE HOW FAR SOUTH THIS
TREND IS ABLE TO CONTINUE. SHALLOW/PATCHY FOG POSSIBLE OVER PRONE
AREAS (NORTH/INTERIOR) BUT AM NOT THINKING IT WIDESPREAD ENOUGH TO
INCLUDE IN GRIDS/ZONES AT THIS TIME. TEMPERATURES...ESPECIALLY
NORTHWARD WHERE SKIES ARE THINNER...ARE ACTUALLY DROPPING QUICKER
THAN MOS GUIDANCE SUGGESTING AND MAY HAVE TO ADJUST OVERNIGHT LOWS
DOWN A COUPLE/FEW DEGREES HERE. WILL MONITOR AND ISSUE A ZONES
UPDATE IF NECESSARY.

FRI...PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...BLYR WINDS CONTINUE TO VEER AROUND TO
ENE-E AS THE REMNANT FRONTAL MOISTURE RIBBON BEGINS TO PIVOT BACK
NWD. SHALLOW ONSHORE FLOW COUPLED WITH CONTINUED MOIST SW FLOW ALOFT
COULD CASE A FEW LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS OR SPRINKLES TO BREAK
OUT...MAINLY DURING THE AFTERNOON. CUT BACK ON MAX TEMPS DUE TO
ANTICIPATE CLOUDS COVER. MAXES REBOUND BACK INTO THE 70S.

&&

.AVIATION...SKIES CLEARING THIS EVENING NORTH OF A KTIX-KISM LINE.
WILL WATCH TO SEE HOW MUCH FARTHER SOUTH THIS TREND CONTINUES THIS
EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. SUPPOSE THAT AREAS WHICH CLEAR OUT MAY SEE
SOME SHALLOW PATCHY FOG AROUND SUNRISE BUT WILL NOT INCLUDE IN TAFS
JUST YET. MUCH BETTER CONDITIONS FOR FOG DEVELOPMENT FRI
OVERNIGHT/SAT MORNING. N/NNE WINDS FALLING TO LESS THAN 5 KTS
OVERNIGHT WITH WINDS VEERING A BIT TO THE NE/ENE ON FRI WITH SPEEDS
5-10 KTS. ONSHORE FLOW ON FRI FORECAST TO ALLOW MARINE CLOUDS TO
VENTURE INLAND WITH MVFR BKN025-030 AND POTENTIAL FOR ISOLD
-SHRA/SPRINKLE ON FRI.

&&

.MARINE...OVERNIGHT-FRI...NORTHERLY WINDS NEAR 10 KTS WILL GRADUALLY
VEER TO NNE/NE OVERNIGHT INTO THE DAY ON FRI. SEAS WILL FALL TO 2-3
FT TONIGHT/FRI.

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
AM...NONE.
&&

$$

SEDLOCK/WEITLICH





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