Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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FXUS64 KMRX 221842
AFDMRX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
240 PM EDT MON SEP 22 2014

.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT AND TUESDAY)...WILL STAY IN A QUIET WEATHER
PATTERN THROUGH THE SHORT TERM WITH SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUING
TO BUILD IN.  THIS WILL ALLOW FOR CLEAR SKIES...LIGHT WINDS AND MILD
TEMPERATURES.

.LONG TERM (TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY)...A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE
WILL BE THE MAIN PLAYER OF THE FORECAST THROUGH SATURDAY. MAINLY A
TEMPERATURE AND EARLY MORNING FOG POTENTIAL FORECAST. HAVE INCLUDED
FOG WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY MORNING NEAR AREA LAKES AND STREAMS DUE
TO STEAM FOG DEVELOPMENT.

BY SUNDAY AND MONDAY...THE GFS AND ECMWF AGREE WITH RIDGING
WEAKENING OVER THE AREA WITH GULF MOISTURE MOISTURE PULLING
NORTHEAST INTO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AND SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS.
TIMING OF THIS FEATURE IS LOW...BUT HAVE INCLUDED LOW-CHANCE POPS.

GENERALLY FOLLOWED MOS VALUES CLOSELY THROUGH THE FORECAST.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
CHATTANOOGA AIRPORT, TN             52  79  52  79 /   0   0   0   0
KNOXVILLE MCGHEE TYSON AIRPORT, TN  48  76  50  78 /   0   0   0   0
OAK RIDGE, TN                       49  76  49  79 /   0   0   0   0
TRI CITIES AIRPORT, TN              44  72  46  75 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...NONE.
TN...NONE.
VA...NONE.
&&

$$

MJB/DH


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