Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

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FXUS62 KTBW 311611
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
1211 PM EDT WED AUG 31 2016

.DISCUSSION...
TD9 continues over the southeast Gulf of Mexico. Have had quite a
bit of rainfall in the Tampa Bay area this morning, mainly across
Pinellas county, and have had some road flooding issues across St.
Pete. Have updated all of the winds and probabilities, the rest of
the forecast is on track with highs generally in the mid 80s and
numerous to categorical pops today. Watches, warnings, and
statements remain unchanged. Update is out.

&&

.AVIATION...
Periods of rain will continue through the day today, with
generally VFR conditions prevailing outside the rain areas, and
MVFR to IFR conditions in the rain. Winds will also be increasing
and becoming gusty, especially with rain bands.

&&

.MARINE...
TD9 continues over the SE Gulf of Mexico. The tropical storm
warning and hurricane watch continue for the northern coastal
waters with the small craft advisory in effect elsewhere. This
will impact the waters through early Friday. Conditions should
then gradually subside on Friday as the system moves off to the NE
and high pressure gradually builds back in across south Florida
from the Atlantic. Current forecast is mainly on track and have
just updated the winds with the current tropical forecast.

&&

.Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs...
TPA  84  77  83  78 / 100  80  80  90
FMY  85  79  86  79 /  60  50  60  70
GIF  84  76  83  77 /  90  50  70  70
SRQ  85  79  84  80 / 100  70  80  90
BKV  84  76  83  77 /  80  70  90  90
SPG  83  78  84  79 / 100  80  80  90

&&

.TBW Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
FL...High Rip Current Risk until 8 PM EDT this evening for
     Coastal Charlotte-Coastal Hillsborough-Coastal Lee-
     Coastal Manatee-Coastal Sarasota-Pinellas.

     Flood Watch through Friday evening for Coastal Citrus-
     Coastal Hernando-Coastal Hillsborough-Coastal Levy-
     Coastal Manatee-Coastal Pasco-Coastal Sarasota-Inland
     Citrus-Inland Hernando-Inland Hillsborough-Inland
     Levy-Inland Manatee-Inland Pasco-Inland Sarasota-
     Pinellas-Sumter.

     Tropical Storm Warning for Coastal Citrus-Coastal Hernando-
     Coastal Levy-Coastal Pasco-Inland Citrus-Inland
     Hernando-Inland Levy-Inland Pasco.

     Hurricane Watch for Coastal Citrus-Coastal Hernando-
     Coastal Levy-Coastal Pasco.

Gulf waters...Tropical Storm Warning for Coastal waters from Tarpon
     Springs to Suwannee River FL out 20 NM-Waters from
     Tarpon Springs to Suwannee River FL out 20 to 60 NM.

     Hurricane Watch for Coastal waters from Tarpon Springs to
     Suwannee River FL out 20 NM-Waters from Tarpon
     Springs to Suwannee River FL out 20 to 60 NM.

     Small Craft Advisory until 10 PM EDT Thursday for
     Charlotte Harbor and Pine Island Sound-Coastal waters
     from Bonita Beach to Englewood FL out 20 NM-Coastal
     waters from Englewood to Tarpon Springs FL out 20 NM-
     Tampa Bay waters-Waters from Bonita Beach to
     Englewood FL out 20 to 60 NM-Waters from Englewood to
     Tarpon Springs FL out 20 to 60 NM.

&&

$$

UPDATE/AVIATION/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...24/Hubbard
UPPER AIR...42/Norman
DECISION SUPPORT...14/Mroczka



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