Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FXUS64 KTSA 041044
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
544 AM CDT FRI SEP 4 2015

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
Light patchy fog in the FYV area will likely dissipate shortly
after sunrise. A few high based cumulus again likely by late
morning/early afternoon. Otherwise, VFR conditions expected
through tonight.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 408 AM CDT FRI SEP 4 2015/

DISCUSSION...
Ridge of high pressure aloft will remain in control of things
through the holiday weekend with a near persistence forecast
continuing. Forecast thermal fields do support a gradual upward
trend in temps through Monday with temps likely reaching upper 90s
in some areas by then. For right now have kept forecast dry
through Sunday, although isolated terrain-forced convection
remains possible each day.

potent upper low moving across northern CONUS will push a cold
front toward our area by late Sunday and while the synoptic front
will not make it this far south, storms developing near the front
may impact areas near the KS/OK border by late Sunday night into
Monday morning. Boundary will likely remain to our north through
Tuesday, but near enough to justify low chance of storms in
northern areas. Upper level flow by mid week should become more
supportive of synoptic front pushing farther south by Wed/Thu with
better rain chances and cooler temps by then.

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$


AVIATION...12


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