Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FXUS64 KTSA 241633
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1133 AM CDT Sun Sep 24 2017

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
Isolated showers are possible across far wc AR and ec OK this
afternoon...however coverage is expected to remain limited for any
TAF inclusion. Limited fog potential towards dawn once again at
KFYV...so will include a tempo group for MVFR vsbys.
Otherwise...VFR conditions will prevail through the period.



&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 1034 AM CDT Sun Sep 24 2017/

DISCUSSION...
A little more high cloud cover expected this afternoon from the
activity occurring near the the OK/TX panhandles. Area 12z
soundings also a little cooler than 24 hours ago. That said...have
lowered temps a degree across the board. Will keep low shower
chances going across the eastern zones given observed coverage
yesterday and latest short term guidance. Otherwise...remaining
first period elements look good and will be left as they are.

Model guidance continues to trend slower with approaching rain
chances along with less coverage. Highest rain chances to mostly
remain west of highway 75...with chances shifting across southeast
Oklahoma and west central Arkansas late Wednesday into Thursday.

Updated ZFP/PFM/AFM out shortly.

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...99
LONG TERM....99
AVIATION...23


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