Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX

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FXUS64 KEWX 061128
AFDEWX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
528 AM CST FRI MAR 6 2015

.UPDATE...12Z AVIATION BELOW.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD WITH HIGH
CIRRUS. MID LEVEL DECK AROUND 8-10K FEET MAY MOVE ACROSS EASTERN
AREAS TONIGHT. NE WINDS 5-10 KTS ALONG AND E OF I-35 AND SE 5-12
KTS ALONG THE RIO GRANDE.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 311 AM CST FRI MAR 6 2015/

SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY)...
UPPER AIR ANALYSIS LAST EVENING SHOWED SPLIT FLOW ACROSS THE
COUNTRY WITH A NORTHERN STREAM TROUGH FROM MINNESOTA TO
NORTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO AND A LOW CUTTING OFF WEST OF THE BAJA
PENINSULA. A WEAK RIDGE WAS BEGINNING TO MOVE INTO TEXAS FROM
NORTHERN MEXICO. FLOW OVER THE REGION WAS FROM THE SOUTHWEST. AT
THE SURFACE...HIGH PRESSURE WAS CENTERED OVER NORTHEASTERN TEXAS.
WINDS ACROSS OUR CWA WERE LIGHT FROM THE NORTH THROUGH NORTHEAST.
SOME HIGH CLOUDS WERE STREAMING UP FROM THE SOUTHWEST. DURING THIS
PERIOD...THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL BUILD INTO THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS. THE SURFACE HIGH WILL DRIFT TO THE EAST TURNING THE WINDS
TO THE EAST AND THEN SOUTHEAST. THIS WILL BE A DRY PERIOD WITH
TEMPERATURES WARMING...BUT STILL BELOW NORMAL.

LONG TERM (SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY)...
SATURDAY NIGHT THE UPPER LOW THAT WAS OFF THE COAST OF BAJA WILL
BEGIN TO MOVE TOWARD THE EAST AS AN OPEN WAVE. AS THIS FEATURE
MOVES ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST A SERIES OF SHORT WAVE TROUGHS WILL
MOVE THROUGH THE PATTERN. THESE WILL BRING CHANCES FOR RAIN TO OUR
CWA BEGINNING SATURDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUING THROUGH TUESDAY WHEN
THE UPPER TROUGH LIFTS AWAY FROM THE AREA. AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE
WILL BUILD OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WITH DRY WEATHER AND NEAR
NORMAL TEMPERATURES RETURNING FOR THE END OF THE PERIOD.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              53  35  59  43  54 /   0   0   0  20  50
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  51  32  58  42  53 /   0   0   0  40  50
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT     53  36  58  44  55 /   0   0   0  50  50
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            51  32  56  41  53 /   0   0   0  20  50
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT           54  39  60  47  60 /   0   0   0  40  30
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        51  32  57  41  53 /   0   0   0  20  50
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             54  37  59  45  58 /   0   0   0  50  50
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        53  34  58  43  55 /   0   0   0  40  50
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   53  34  59  45  54 /   0   0   0  30  50
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       54  37  59  46  56 /   0   0   0  50  50
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT           54  38  60  46  57 /   0   0   0  50  50

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...76
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...05



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