Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
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ACUS11 KWNS 192051
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 192051
KSZ000-OKZ000-TXZ000-192245-
Mesoscale Discussion 0836
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0351 PM CDT Sun May 19 2024
Areas affected...Southwest into Central Kansas...northeast Texas
Panhandle...northwest Oklahoma
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 260...
Valid 192051Z - 192245Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 260
continues.
SUMMARY...The threat for very-large hail, significant wind gusts,
and tornadoes will continue into the evening.
DISCUSSION...The greatest tornado risk within WW 260 exists near
Russell, KS. There was a recent report of a tornado west of Russell
at 2027Z. The environment downstream of this storm should remain
favorable for very-large hail (severe 2+ in. reports are associated
with this storm over the past 90 minutes), severe wind gusts (71 kts
measured at KRSL), and tornadoes. The surface observation at Salina
shows 91/60, which would suggest some reduction in low-level RH. The
eastern extent of the tornado threat with this storm is the main
uncertainty.
Farther west, a cluster of high-based thunderstorms continues into
western Kansas. This activity has the potential to become more
intense/organized as it encounters low/mid 60s F dewpoints farther
east. Most guidance has been insistent on this activity becoming a
bowing segment with the potential for significant (75+ mph) wind
gusts.
Storms moving out of the Texas Panhandle into northwest Oklahoma
have so far struggled to maintain intensity, most likely due to
limited moisture. As with storms to the north,
intensification/organization is possible as greater low-level
moisture is ingested. With these storms remaining more discrete, a
tornado threat is still possible, particularly as the low-level jet
increases this evening.
..Wendt.. 05/19/2024
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...TOP...ICT...OUN...GID...DDC...GLD...AMA...
LAT...LON 35639976 35930068 36720193 38230200 39069985 39519820
39369673 38359647 37189749 35829882 35639976