Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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FXUS65 KFGZ 230939
AFDFGZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
230 AM MST TUE SEP 23 2014

.SYNOPSIS...
DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED FOR MOST OF NORTHERN ARIZONA INTO THURSDAY
EXCEPT FOR ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS NEAR THE NEW MEXICO BORDER. FOR
FRIDAY AND THE WEEKEND...A STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS ARIZONA
BRINGING A GOOD CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

FOR TODAY INTO FRIDAY...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE IN CONTROL ACROSS
ARIZONA. EXPECT GRADUALLY WARMING DAYTIME TEMPERATURES AND CLEAR TO
PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES. ENOUGH MOISTURE WILL LINGER JUST TO THE
SOUTHEAST FOR A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS OVER THE WHITE
MOUNTAINS AREA TODAY AND WEDNESDAY. BY THURSDAY AND FRIDAY, AS HIGH
PRESSURE SHIFTS EASTWARD, MOISTURE WILL BEGIN TO MOVE NORTHWARD WITH
AN INCREASE IN THE CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS OVER THE WHITE
MOUNTAINS AND MOGOLLON RIM.

OVER THE COMING WEEKEND...MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW THAT A STORM
SYSTEM FROM THE WEST WILL INTERACT WITH LINGERING MOISTURE OVER
ARIZONA FOR A GOOD CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

&&

.AVIATION...
FOR THE 12Z PACKAGE... FAIR WEATHER WITH VFR CONDITIONS FOR THE NEXT
24 HOURS EXCEPT 17Z-02Z...ISOLATED -TSRA/-SHRA SOUTH OF A KPAN-KSJN
LINE. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC.........MCCOLLUM/41
AVIATION.......MAS

FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF




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