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000
FXUS64 KHUN 012033
AFDHUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Huntsville AL
333 PM CDT Sat Oct 1 2016

.DISCUSSION...
Very quiet and mild day ongoing across the cntrl TN Valley for the
first half of the weekend period, as a strong dome of high pressure
builds swd into the Midwest/OH Valley states in the wake of a
departing sfc/upper low feature to the ne. There`s been some
lingering cloud cover in place over the region as trailing moisture
surges ewd along the srn fringes of the departing upper low complex.
In reality, cloud cover may be slow to completely diminish heading
into the evening hrs, as the flow pattern becomes a bit more stagnant
from w to e across the cntrl Gulf states for the end of the weekend
period. However, moisture should definitely be on the decline as the
sfc high builds further into the Lower MS Valley. Afternoon temps may
rebound a few degrees as well, or perhaps back into the lower/mid
80s range, as the stagnant/open flow pattern gives way to weak upper
ridging again translating ewd into much of the region for the start
of the new work week.

Large diurnal temp swings will pretty much be the wx story for the
first half of next week, as the expansive sfc high becomes layered
from the NE states swwd into the cntrl/ern Gulf coast. After mid
week, much of the focus no doubt during this time frame will be on
the progress of Hurricane Matthew as it becomes more of a threat to
the Carolina`s coastal areas. Closer to home, the mid TN Valley will
likely be caught between the influx of drier air from the n
associated with the tropical system to the e and an approaching cold
front out of the w. Latest model suites suggest the frontal boundary
arriving just before the drier air to the e becomes more entrenched,
which at least warrants leaving a low chc of showers/tstms in the
forecast Thu/Thu night along/ahead of the oncoming front. While any
rain is certainly appreciated given the abnormally dry conditions in
place at this point, hopefully this frontal passage will quickly be
followed by others over the next couple of weeks as the fall season
gets further along.

09

&&

.AVIATION...
(Issued 1232 PM CDT Sat Oct 1 2016)
For 18Z TAFs: Low broken clouds in the lower end of the VFR range
will continue in the short term until around 01Z at HSV and MSL. VFR
conditions are expected through the entire forecast period and will
continue with generally light and variable winds.

TT

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Huntsville    55  82  57  85 /   0   0   0   0
Shoals        56  83  57  84 /   0   0   0   0
Vinemont      53  82  55  83 /   0   0   0   0
Fayetteville  52  80  53  81 /   0   0   0   0
Albertville   55  82  57  83 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Payne    52  81  55  82 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
TN...NONE.
&&

$$

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