Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Jacksonville, FL

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
000
FXUS62 KJAX 011335
AFDJAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
935 AM EDT WED OCT 1 2014

.UPDATE...
SLIGHTLY DRIER AIRMASS HAS SLIPPED SOUTHWARD OVERNIGHT WITH MORNING
SOUNDINGS REPORTING PRECIP WATER AMOUNTS AT 1.50 OR LESS ACROSS SE
GA WHILE STILL IN THE 1.6 TO 1.8 INCH RANGE ACROSS NE FL AND WITH
THE PROXIMITY OF OLD FRONTAL BOUNDARY ACROSS CNTRL FL...SOME ISOLD
SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS MORNING. OVERCAST CLOUD DECK OVER
ALL OF NE FL AND MOST OF SE GA SHOULD SHOW SIGNS OF BECOMING
SCATTERED TO BROKEN THIS AFTERNOON AND ENOUGH SUNNY BREAKS ARE
EXPECTED TO ALLOW FOR HIGHS INTO THE 80S AREA-WIDE AND THIS SHOULD
BE ENOUGH HEATING TO PRODUCE SCATTERED AFTERNOON SHOWERS ACROSS
SOME PORTIONS OF NE FL AND POSSIBLY A FEW THUNDERSTORMS. TONIGHT
EXPECT PARTLY CLOUDY/FAIR SKIES WITH JUST A FEW EVENING SHOWERS
THEN ENOUGH LINGERING LOW LEVEL MOISTURE TO PRODUCE PATCHY FOG
AREA-WIDE OVERNIGHT...AND HOW MUCH DENSE FOG IS POSSIBLE OVER
INLAND AREAS WILL DEPEND ON SKY COVER AMOUNTS AS THE CLOUD DECK
SUPPRESSED IT THIS MORNING MAY NOT BE PRESENT EARLY THU MORNING.
LOWS IN THE 60S INLAND AND 70S ALONG THE I-95 CORRIDOR AND ST
JOHNS RIVER BASIN.

&&

.AVIATION...
GENERALLY VFR OVERCAST CLOUD DECK AROUND 3000-6000 FEET ACROSS
THE REGION THAT WILL SLOWLY BECOME SCT/BKN THIS AFTERNOON. RAIN
CHANCES LOW ENOUGH TO LEAVE OUT AT TAF SITES EXCEPT FOR A POSSIBLE
VCSH AT KGNV THIS AFTERNOON. BETTER CHANCES FOR LATE NIGHT FOG
TONIGHT IF STRATO-CU DECK CAN SCATTER OUT AFTER SUNSET AND WILL
ADDRESS AND IFR OR LOWER VSBYS THAT WILL BE POSSIBLE IN NEXT TAF
ISSUANCE...MORE LIKELY AT THE INLAND TAF SITES OF KGNV/KVQQ.

&&

.MARINE...
NORTHEAST 10-15 KNOTS WITH SEAS OF 2-4 FT TODAY BECOMING EAST
TONIGHT.

RIP CURRENTS: MODERATE RISK LINGERS IN THE ONSHORE FLOW ALTHOUGH
EARLY MORNING BREAKER HEIGHTS ONLY BEING REPORTED AROUND 2 FEET.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
RECENT RAINFALL IS PUSHING A MINOR FLOOD WAVE DOWN THE ST MARY`S
RIVER BASIN AND FLOOD WARNINGS HAVE BEEN ISSUED. WATER LEVELS
REMAIN HIGH ON THE ST JOHNS RIVER BASIN AS WELL FROM JACKSONVILLE
SOUTHWARD TO PALATKA.

&&

.CLIMATE...
JACKSONVILLE AND GAINESVILLE BOTH REPORTED 30TH WETTEST SEPTEMBER
ON RECORD DATING BACK TO THE LATE 1800`S AND BOTH LOCATIONS
REPORTED THEIR GREATEST MONTHLY TOTAL SINCE JUNE 2012. LAKE CITY`S
13.73 INCHES WAS THEIR 2ND WETTEST SEPTEMBER ON RECORD DATING
BACK TO 1893 ONLY BEHIND SEP 2004.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  87  64  88  68 /  10  10  10  40
SSI  81  71  82  72 /  10  10  10  20
JAX  84  68  85  69 /  20  10  20  20
SGJ  83  73  84  71 /  30  20  20  20
GNV  86  68  88  68 /  40  20  40  30
OCF  86  69  89  69 /  50  20  40  30

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GA...NONE.
AM...NONE.
&&

$$

HESS/WALKER



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.