Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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FXUS64 KLZK 020832
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
332 AM CDT SUN AUG 2 2015

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT

ANOTHER QUIET NIGHT/EARLY MRNG NOTED ACRS AR AS A WEAK RDG OF SFC
HIGH PRES WAS SITUATED OVR THE REGION. WITH LGT WINDS AND MOSTLY CLR
SKIES...EARLY MRNG TEMPS RANGED FM THE MID 60S TO THE MID 70S.

THE AFOREMENTIONED SFC HIGH WL LINGER OVR THE FA THRU MON...WITH
DAYTIME HIGHS IN THE 90S. WL SEE A GRADUAL INCRS IN LOW LVL MOISTURE
HEADING INTO MON AS THE HIGH SHIFTS FAR ENOUGH TO THE E TO ALLOW
S/SWLY WINDS TO RETURN TO MOST LOCATIONS. BY TUE...CANNOT RULE OUT
SOME AFTN ISOLD SHRA/TSRA OVR THE AREA.

BY TUE NGT AND WED...AN UPR LVL IMPULSE IS FCST TO PASS EWD ACRS NRN
AR/SRN MO. THIS FEATURE WL INTERACT WITH INCRSD MOISTURE TO PRODUCE
SCTD CONVECTION. HIGHEST POPS WERE MENTIONED OVR NRN PARTS OF THE
FA...CLOSER TO THE TRACK OF THE SHRTWV. RAIN CHCS WL TAPER OFF LATER
WED AND WED NGT FM THE W AS THE UPR ENERGY SHIFTS E OF THE REGION.

FOR TEMP TRENDS...CONTD TO BUMP HIGH TEMPS UP A DEGREE OR TWO OVR
THE NEXT FEW DAYS. INCRSD LOW LVL RH AND CLOUD COVER BY TUE AND WED
WL HOLD HIGHS DOWN JUST A BIT. FCST HEAT INDICES ARE EXPECTED TO RMN
BLW ADVY CRITERIA THRU THE PD.
&&

.LONG TERM...THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

UPPER HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE CENTERED OVER THE SOUTHWEST U.S. TO
BEGIN THE LONG TERM PERIOD. NORTHWEST FLOW WILL BE OVER ARKANSAS.
THIS RIDGE WILL SLOWLY MOVE EAST THROUGH THE PERIOD AND MAY ENTER
WESTERN ARKANSAS BY LATE SATURDAY.

SEVERAL SHORT WAVES ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH THE NORTHWEST FLOW
AND BRING CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE AREA THURSDAY
AND FRIDAY. IN ADDITION...A WARM FRONT WILL MOVE NORTH THROUGH THE
STATE THURSDAY. THE BEST CHANCES WILL GENERALLY BE IN THE NORTH AND
CENTRAL SECTIONS. SATURDAY LOOKS TO BE DRY AT THIS POINT. HIGH
TEMPERATURES WILL BE MAINLY IN THE 80S AND 90S.
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...44 / LONG TERM...51



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