Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN

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FXUS64 KMEG 190525
AFDMEG

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1225 AM CDT FRI SEP 19 2014

.UPDATE...
UPDATED TO ADD 06Z AVIATION DISCUSSION.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1006 PM CDT THU SEP 18 2014/

UPDATE...

SHOWERS CONTINUE TO IMPACT THE EASTERN POTIONS OF THE MID SOUTH THROUGH
THE LATE NIGHT...EARLY MORNING HOURS. THE FORECAST HAS BEEN UPDATED
TO INCREASE POPS AFTER MIDNIGHT IN EXTREME NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI
AND WEST TENNESSEE NEAR THE TENNESSEE RIVER.

JPM3

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 726 PM CDT THU SEP 18 2014/

UPDATE...

STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE THROUGH NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI TONIGHT
NORTH OF A STALLED FRONTAL BOUNDARY THAT CURRENTLY STRETCHES FROM
SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI INTO OKLAHOMA. INCREASED POPS FOR NORTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI UNTIL MIDNIGHT.

JPM3

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 623 PM CDT THU SEP 18 2014/

UPDATE...AVIATION DISCUSSION.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 256 PM CDT THU SEP 18 2014/

DISCUSSION...

SKIES ARE MOSTLY CLOUDY OVER NORTHERN SECTIONS OF THE FORECAST
AREA AND MOSTLY SUNNY ELSEWHERE. TEMPERATURES VARY QUITE A BIT DUE
TO CLOUD COVER WITH READINGS RANGING FROM THE UPPER 60S TO THE
UPPER 80S. SOME SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS
THE FORECAST AREA THIS AFTERNOON MAINLY OVER AREAS SOUTH OF
INTERSTATE 40. THIS ACTIVITY HAS FORMED NORTH OF A STATIONARY
FRONT WHICH CURRENTLY EXTENDS FROM SOUTH GEORGIA ACROSS NORTHERN
LOUISIANA AND INTO WEST TEXAS.

AS THE FRONT BEGINS TO MOVE SOUTH TONIGHT THE THREAT OF ADDITIONAL
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT WILL DIMINISH THIS EVENING. HIGH PRESSURE
WILL BE OVER THE NEW ENGLAND STATES ON FRIDAY WHICH WILL KEEP
THINGS DRY OVER THE REGION. TEMPERATURES WILL BE CLOSE TO NORMAL
LEVELS ON FRIDAY WITH HIGHS MAINLY IN THE MID 80S. DRY WEATHER
WILL CONTINUE INTO SATURDAY AS WELL. TEMPERATURES WILL BE A FEW
DEGREES WARMER WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S TO NEAR 90 DEGREES.

BY SUNDAY...A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE REGION. MOISTURE WILL
BE SOMEWHAT LIMITED AHEAD OF THE FRONT SO THERE WILL BE ONLY A
SMALL CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE FORECAST AREA. TEMPERATURES
WILL BE A LITTLE COOLER ON SUNDAY WITH INCREASED CLOUD COVER WITH
HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 80S. AS THE FRONT MOVES OUT OF THE
FORECAST AREA SUNDAY NIGHT THE CHANCE OF RAIN WILL DIMINISH.

BY MONDAY...SOMEWHAT COOLER AND DRIER AIR WILL MAKES ITS WAY INTO
THE FORECAST AREA. HIGH PRESSURE WILL START TO BUILD INTO THE
REGION ON MONDAY AND REMAIN OVER THE EASTERN U.S. FOR MUCH OF NEXT
WEEK. AS A RESULT DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE FROM MONDAY THROUGH
NEXT THURSDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN NEAR OR SLIGHTLY BELOW
NORMAL THROUGH THIS PERIOD WITH HIGHS GENERALLY IN THE LOW TO MID 80S.

ARS

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAF CYCLE

MAINLY LIGHT WINDS FROM THE EAST TO SOUTHEAST OVER THE NEXT 24
HOURS.  NO ADDITIONAL PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED.  SOME MVFR CIGS AND
VIS IS POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SHORTLY AFTER SUNRISE TOMORROW.

JDS

&&

.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
MO...NONE.
MS...NONE.
TN...NONE.
&&

$$






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