Area Forecast Discussion
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FXUS62 KTAE 270148
AFDTAE

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
948 PM EDT Wed Jul 26 2017

.NEAR TERM [Through Tonight]...

Low/mid level low pressure resulted in shower and thunderstorm
development in convergent flow this afternoon. Storms moved into
the region from the northeast and dropped southwest to the Gulf
coast. Storms along the Big Bend coast should fizzle out shortly,
with limited convection expected offshore overnight. Lows will
once again fall into the lower to middle 70s.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION [715 PM EDT]...

.SHORT TERM [Thursday Through Friday Night]...

The weak upper low over the southeast will continue to influence
rain chances for Thursday. PoPs will be in the 30-50% range with
the highest in south Georgia and the Big Bend. By Friday upper
level flow becomes more zonal ahead of the approaching trough.
Friday PoPs will be slightly lower 20-40%. Highs will be in the
lower 90s with warmer temps to the west where rain chances are
lower.


.LONG TERM [Saturday Through Wednesday]...

The trough over the eastern US will shift east through the period.
It will bring a weak front that will increase shower and
thunderstorm chances for the weekend. Drier air will arrive by late
Sunday before rain chances increase again mid week. PoPs will
generally be 30-60% with the highest chances in the Big Bend. Highs
will be in the upper 80s with lows in the low 70s.


.AVIATION [Through 00Z Friday]...

Scattered showers and storms will continue to drop southwest into
the region this evening. These storms would primarily impact VLD
and ECP, but possibly TLH as well. Overnight, expect LIFR
restrictions at TLH, ABY, and VLD, with less confidence at ECP and
DHN. Expect storms to be concentrated in the late afternoon once
again tomorrow.


.MARINE...

Winds will be westerly 5 to 10 knots through Thursday then will
increase to 15 knots through the weekend. Seas will be 3 feet or
less.


.FIRE WEATHER...

Hazardous fire weather conditions are not expected over the
next several days.


.HYDROLOGY...

All area rivers are below flood stage. A few heavy showers and
thunderstorms could lead to brief localized flooding.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...

Tallahassee   74  91  75  93  76 /  30  40  20  40  10
Panama City   77  90  78  90  80 /  20  30  20  20  10
Dothan        74  93  74  94  75 /  10  30  10  20  20
Albany        74  90  74  94  76 /  10  30  10  20  20
Valdosta      73  89  74  92  74 /  40  50  30  30  10
Cross City    74  90  74  90  76 /  50  30  30  30  10
Apalachicola  76  89  77  90  79 /  20  30  20  20  10

&&

.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

NEAR TERM...Harrigan
SHORT TERM...Weston
LONG TERM...Weston
AVIATION...Harrigan
MARINE...Weston
FIRE WEATHER...Harrigan
HYDROLOGY...Weston


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