Area Forecast Discussion
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174
FXUS62 KTAE 232017
AFDTAE

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
317 PM EST Thu Nov 23 2017

.NEAR TERM [Through Tonight]...

Patches of light rain will end across the Valdosta region and the
Big Bend this evening as a cooler and drier airmass continue to
filter in from the west. Clouds will diminish as well although there
is a possibility of fog developing across our easternmost zones
overnight. Lows will range from the middle 40s northwest to the
lower 50s southeast.


.SHORT TERM [Friday Through Saturday Night]...

In the upper levels a trough remains over the Southeast. At the
surface a Gulf Low is centered off the Atlantic Coast of Florida on
Friday morning. High pressure will move into the region on Friday
afternoon and Friday night. A weak decaying cold front will approach
the region Saturday night. POPs will be low with the best chance of
rain in Eastern Big Bend Florida on Friday morning as the Gulf Low
moves out (POPs 15 to 30 percent). Temps will be seasonable with
highs in the upper 60s to lower 70s and lows in the 40s.


.LONG TERM [Sunday Through Thursday]...

In the upper levels a trough will be over the Southeast
until a ridge builds in on Monday night. At the surface a weak
decaying cold front will move through early Sunday followed by high
pressure in the Southeast. POPs will be near zero early in the week.
A slight chance for rain is forecast mid week. Highs will be in the
upper 60s and lower 70s. Lows will be mainly in the 40s.

&&

.AVIATION [Through 18Z Friday]...

MVFR/IFR cigs continue at ABY and VLD early this afternoon but skies
will gradually clear from west to east this evening and overnight.
Winds will be light from the northeast.

&&

.MARINE...

Northeasterly winds will be 15 to 20 knots tonight offshore. Winds
and seas will decrease by Friday afternoon. Winds will be light to
moderate through mid week.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

Other than marginally low dispersion values across the western
Florida panhandle Friday, hazardous fire weather conditions are not
expected over the next several days.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...

A few spots in Eastern Big Bend Florida have received 2 to 3 inches
of rain. Additional rain is possible through tomorrow morning mainly
in the Eastern Big Bend of Florida. However any additional rain will
likely be less than 0.25 inch. River flooding is not expected since
river levels are still low.

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always
encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they
occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...

Tallahassee   48  70  46  71  44 /  10  10   0   0   0
Panama City   51  69  51  70  47 /   0   0   0  10   0
Dothan        45  68  45  70  42 /   0   0   0   0   0
Albany        44  67  45  69  42 /   0   0   0   0   0
Valdosta      46  67  45  70  43 /  40  20   0   0   0
Cross City    52  69  47  72  45 /  50  20   0  10   0
Apalachicola  52  69  51  71  49 /  10  10   0  10   0

&&

.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...High Rip Current Risk until 1 AM EST Friday for Coastal Franklin.

GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

NEAR TERM...Barry
SHORT TERM...McD
LONG TERM...McD
AVIATION...Barry
MARINE...McD
FIRE WEATHER...Scholl
HYDROLOGY...McD



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