Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

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000
FXUS62 KTBW 270206
AFDTBW

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
906 PM EST THU FEB 26 2015

.DISCUSSION...
THE COLD FRONT IS IN PLACE ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA WITH A FEW
LINGERING LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS CONTINUING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN ZONES.
THIS SHOULD CLEAR OUT AFTER MIDNIGHT WITH OVERCAST SKIES
CONTINUING. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE N/NE OVERNIGHT AND SURGE A BIT
THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. THE HIGH SURF ADVISORY AND RIP
CURRENT RISK WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 10PM WITH THE WIND
DIRECTION CHANGE AND THE SEA SWELLS DIMINISHING. TEMPERATURES ARE
ON TRACK TO FALL INTO THE 40S NORTH TO THE 50S CENTRAL AND SOUTH.
NO MAJOR CHANGES FOR THE UPDATE...BUT WILL REMOVE THE RAIN CHANCES
FOR ALL ZONES...FOR AFTER MIDNIGHT FOR LEE COUNTY...AND REMOVE THE
HIGH SURF/RIP CURRENT HEADLINES.

&&

.AVIATION...
MVFR CEILINGS WILL OVERSPREAD THE AREA OVERNIGHT WITH SOME
TERMINALS GOING IFR GENERALLY 09-14Z. THE CEILINGS SHOULD LIFT
AFTER 15Z TO VFR WITH GENERALLY N/NE WINDS PREVAILING.

&&

.MARINE...
BUOYS ARE SHOWING GENERALLY NW WINDS AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS THIS
EVENING. A NORTHEASTERLY SURGE IS EXPECTED IN THE EARLY FRIDAY
MORNING HOURS WHICH WILL BRING WINDS INTO THE EXERCISE CAUTION
RANGE FOR THE OFFSHORE ZONES. TAMPA BAY...CHARLOTTE HARBOR AND THE
NEARSHORE ZONES CAN EXPECT WINDS TO REMAIN IN THE 10-15 KT RANGE
OVERNIGHT. SEAS WELL OFFSHORE ARE DIMINISHING...AND WILL ALLOW THE
HIGH SURF AND RIP CURRENT ADVISORY TO EXPIRE AT 10PM.

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...RIP CURRENT RISK UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR COASTAL
     CHARLOTTE-COASTAL HILLSBOROUGH-COASTAL LEE-COASTAL
     MANATEE-COASTAL SARASOTA-PINELLAS.

     HIGH SURF ADVISORY UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR
     COASTAL CHARLOTTE-COASTAL HILLSBOROUGH-COASTAL LEE-
     COASTAL MANATEE-COASTAL SARASOTA-PINELLAS.

GULF WATERS...NONE.

&&

$$

UPDATE/AVIATION...24/HUBBARD
MARINE...11/MCKAUGHAN
DECISION SUPPORT...05/CARLISLE




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