Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

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FXUS62 KTBW 290028
AFDTBW

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
828 PM EDT THU MAY 28 2015

.SHORT TERM (REST OF TONIGHT)...
WEAK MID AND UPPER LEVEL RIDGING WITH SIGNIFICANTLY DRIER AIR
WILL CONTINUE IN PLACE OVERNIGHT. AT THE SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE
EAST OF THE CANADIAN MARITIMES WILL RIDGE SOUTHWESTWARD...ACROSS
FL AND INTO THE GULF...WITH NORTHEAST OR EAST LOW LEVEL FLOW THAT
MAY BE ROBUST AT TIMES THIS EVENING. FORECASTS LOOK GOOD BUT WILL
UPDATE BY 10 PM TO COVER SOME MINOR WIND ADJUSTMENTS.

&&

.AVIATION...
29/00Z-29/24Z. VFR WILL PREVAIL WITH FEW TO SCT CLOUDS...ALTHOUGH
RSW WILL SEE SOME FU (SMOKE) EARLY THIS EVENING. EXPECT ENOUGH OF
AN INCREASE IN MOISTURE FRI FOR VCNTY TSRA AND FEW CB...BEGINNING
18Z-21Z. WINDS EAST OR NE...AND ROBUST THIS EVENING.

&&

.MARINE...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE WATERS...WITH A NOCTURNAL
SURGE THIS EVENING BUMPING WINDS INTO THE EXERCISE CAUTION RANGE.
AN INCREASE IN MOISTURE STREAMING ACROSS THE STATE FRI WILL
PROVIDE THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE COAST
DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON AND PUSHING OFF SHORE DURING THE EVENING
HOURS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  70  88  73  90 /   0  20  20  40
FMY  69  91  71  91 /   0  40  10  40
GIF  68  89  71  91 /   0  20   0  40
SRQ  69  88  72  89 /  10  20  30  40
BKV  65  89  68  91 /   0  20  10  40
SPG  73  87  75  89 /  10  20  30  40

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GULF WATERS...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM/AVIATION/MARINE...09/RUDE
DECISION SUPPORT SERVICES...24/HUBBARD



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