Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

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FXUS62 KTBW 270524
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
124 AM EDT FRI MAY 27 2016

.AVIATION (06z TAFs)...
East to northeast winds will prevail through the TAF period.
Winds will increase by early afternoon, becoming more
northeasterly at near-coastal terminals with the afternoon
seabreeze. With increasing moisture, expect at least isolated
showers and thunderstorms will be possible along the Suncoast,
affecting primarily KPGD, KFMY and KRSW from 20z into the evening
hours. However, confidence remains low in any single terminal
being affected, and will include VCTS for this TAF issuance.

84/Austin

&&

.Prev Discussion... /issued 751 PM EDT THU MAY 26 2016/

UPDATE...
The subtropical ridge of high pressure remains oriented over
northern Florida, with generally easterly winds in place across
the forecast area. Under this easterly flow, a few
showers/sprinkles developed this afternoon over Southwest Florida
and are currently moving west into the Gulf. Rain free conditions
are expected to prevail overnight, with perhaps a nocturnal surge
bringing a brief period of gusty east winds across the area
overnight.

Overall, forecast looks on track, with no significant changes
needed for the evening update.

MARINE... High pressure will hold north of the coastal waters
through the start of the weekend, with generally easterly flow
continuing. An easterly surge will bring wind speeds up to
exercise caution levels over the Gulf zones again this evening.
Otherwise...expect winds and seas to remain below headline
criteria.

&&

.Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs...
TPA  72  89  73  89 /  10  30  10  10
FMY  71  90  72  88 /  10  40  20  30
GIF  69  90  70  90 /   0  50  20  30
SRQ  71  88  72  88 /  10  20  10  20
BKV  66  89  66  89 /   0  30  10  20
SPG  74  88  74  87 /  10  30  10  10

&&

.TBW Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.
&&

Previous AFD...
UPDATE/AVIATION/MARINE...18/Fleming
UPPER AIR...11/McKaughan
DECISION SUPPORT...69/Close

$$


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