Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

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098
FXUS62 KTBW 271415
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
915 AM EST Mon Feb 27 2017

.SHORT TERM (Today)...
An upper ridge south of Cuba reached over the Gulf of
Mexico with southwest flow containing a weak embedded short
wave trough aloft the central Gulf coast. High pressure off
the Mid-Atlantic coast ridged southwest...across the state
to the Gulf of Mexico...with prevailing east/ southeast
flow. This will provide a slight increase in moisture which
along with lift as the short wave trough track across the
east gulf into FL will be enough to support some low odds of
showers/storms this afternoon for the nature coast and
inland central and southern counties. The gradient will be
somewhat relaxed and will permit a sea breeze to shift winds
to onshore for coastal counties. The current forecasts are
on track with no updates planned.

&&

.AVIATION...
12Z TAFs: VFR prevail through the period with FEW-SCT CU/SC
and CI. Northeast winds become southeasterly by late
morning. A weak seabreeze will allow winds to become
south/southwest near coastal terminals by 19Z-20Z. Winds
will decrease by 00Z...becoming easterly in the evening

&&

.MARINE...
High pressure ridging across FL into the gulf today will
provide southeasterly winds...with a gradient relaxed
enough to permit an afternoon sea breeze to shift winds to
south or southwest at speeds of 15 knots or less.

&&

.Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs...
TPA  82  66  83  66 /  10  10  10  10
FMY  86  67  86  67 /   0   0   0  10
GIF  85  66  86  66 /  20  10  10  10
SRQ  82  65  82  65 /   0   0  10  10
BKV  84  61  86  63 /  20  10  10  10
SPG  80  66  80  66 /   0   0  10  10

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...Beach Hazards Statement through this evening for Coastal
     Charlotte-Coastal Sarasota.

Gulf waters...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM/AVIATION/MARINE...09/Rude
UPPER AIR...42/Norman
MID TERM/LONG TERM/DECISION SUPPORT...57/McMichael



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