Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
Issued by NWS

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000
ACUS01 KWNS 021629
SWODY1
SPC AC 021627

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1127 AM CDT THU JUL 02 2015

VALID 021630Z - 031200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM PARTS OF KS/OK INTO
KY/TN...

...THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER MUCH OF THE
CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PLAINS EASTWARD INTO THE TN VALLEY AND CAROLINAS...

...SUMMARY...
SCATTERED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS MUCH
OF THE CENTRAL ROCKIES AND PLAINS EASTWARD TO THE MID ATLANTIC
COAST.  SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE FROM THE CENTRAL PLAINS INTO THE
TENNESSEE VALLEY AND SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS.

...KY/TN...
A BELT OF MODERATELY STRONG MID-LEVEL WESTERLIES EXTENDS ACROSS
PARTS OF THE OH/TN VALLEYS TODAY.  VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY
SUGGESTS RELATIVELY RAPID CLEARING AND THE POTENTIAL FOR
DESTABILIZATION THIS AFTERNOON OVER PARTS OF KY/TN AFFECTED BY
OVERNIGHT CONVECTION.  THEREFORE HAVE SHIFTED SLGT RISK AREA BACK
INTO THIS REGION FOR THE POTENTIAL OF GUSTY WINDS IN THE STRONGER
CELLS.

...KS/OK...
ONGOING FORECAST REMAINS ON TRACK...WITH THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY
INTENSIFYING LATER THIS AFTERNOON ALONG THE SURFACE BOUNDARY ACROSS
PARTS OF SOUTHERN KS...SPREADING INTO OK THIS EVENING.  DAMAGING
WINDS ARE THE MAIN THREAT.

...NC/VA...
STRONG HEATING WILL OCCUR TODAY OVER PARTS OF THE MID ATLANTIC
REGION AND CAROLINAS...WITH A MODERATELY UNSTABLE AIR MASS
DEVELOPING BY LATE AFTERNOON.  SEVERAL MODEL SOLUTIONS SUGGEST
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IN THIS REGION AROUND PEAK
HEATING...WITH SUFFICIENT WINDS ALOFT FOR SOME CONVECTIVE
ORGANIZATION.  SHORT-TERM TRENDS WILL BE MONITORED FOR POSSIBLE
INCLUSION INTO SLGT RISK AT 20Z.

..HART/COHEN.. 07/02/2015



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