Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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FXUS65 KFGZ 211612

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
912 AM MST Fri Oct 21 2016

.SYNOPSIS...High pressure will lead to warm and dry conditions
through Saturday. A low pressure system moving onto the West Coast
early next week will draw increasing moisture into Arizona. A few
showers may start on Sunday, but chances for rainfall peak on
Monday. Expect clearing from west to east on Tuesday with a return
to dry weather.


No significant changes to the forecast this morning as dry and
mild conditions continue across the area. Cool morning
temperatures will warm to above seasonal values through the early
afternoon. Dry conditions aloft will lead to mostly clear


.PREV DISCUSSION /314 AM MST/... Clear and cool weather will start
the morning across northern Arizona today. High pressure will
track eastward across the region over the next couple days with
dry conditions persisting and daytime temps around 10+ degrees
warmer than normal through Saturday. Early next week, flow aloft
will shift to a orientation more favorable for increasing
moisture. A slight chance of showers is in the forecast for
Sunday, but a better chance for showers and thunderstorms appears
on tap for Monday. Precipitation chances will taper off Tuesday
from west-to-east as the associated trough moves eastward. Expect
dry weather conditions from Wednesday through next Friday as a
ridge redevelops across the desert southwest.


.AVIATION...For the 18Z forecast...VFR conditions will prevail for
the next 24 hours. Light winds with be present at most locations
with some afternoon gusts possible durring peak heating. Aviation
discussion not updated for TAF amendments.






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