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000
FXUS65 KFGZ 032205
AFDFGZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
230 PM MST TUE MAR 3 2015

.SYNOPSIS...ANOTHER WEATHER DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE ACROSS ARIZONA
OVERNIGHT...BRINGING SCATTERED RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS TO NORTHERN
THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. AFTER A COLD BUT DRIER DAY ON
WEDNESDAY...HIGH PRESSURE AND A WARMING TREND WILL RETURN FOR
THURSDAY AND THROUGH THE COMING WEEKEND.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
ONE LAST WEATHER DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE ACROSS ARIZONA OVERNIGHT. THE
CENTER OF THIS NEXT DISTURBANCE WAS LOCATED OVER NORTHWEST ARIZONA
DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS...HEADING EASTWARD. DURING THE AFTERNOON,
AMPLE MOISTURE AND COLD TEMPERATURES ALOFT WERE COMBINING WITH
DAYTIME HEATING TO PRODUCE SCATTERED RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS
THE AREA. THE SCATTERED SHOWER ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO
THE EVENING HOURS...THEN MOSTLY COMING TO AN END AFTER MIDNIGHT AS
THE CENTER OF THE DISTURBANCE HEADS TO THE EAST. THE SNOW LEVEL
ACROSS THE AREA WILL RANGE FROM 4500-5500 FEET. AS FAR AS SNOW
ACCUMULATION, GENERALLY LOOKING AT TRACE TO 2 INCH ACCUMULATIONS
OVERNIGHT.

STARTING WEDNESDAY AND LASTING INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK...HIGH PRESSURE
WILL SLOWLY BUILD OVER THE SOUTHWEST UNITED STATES. MOISTURE AND
COLD AIR ALOFT WILL LINGER OVER FAR EASTERN ARIZONA ON WEDNESDAY FOR
A FEW LINGERING DAYTIME INSTABILITY SHOWERS. OTHERWISE, LOOK FOR
DAYTIME HIGH TEMPERATURES TO WARM 3 TO 5 DEGREES EACH DAY. IT WILL
STILL BE CHILLY ON WEDNESDAY BUT OVER THE WEEKEND MILD TEMPERATURES
ARE EXPECTED TO RETURN.

&&

.AVIATION...
FOR THE 00Z PACKAGE...RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS
NORTHERN ARIZONA THROUGH TONIGHT...BEFORE TAPERING OFF WEDNESDAY
MORNING. THESE SHOWERS MAY CAUSE PERIODS OF MVFR/IFR
CONDITIONS...WITH THE BEST CHANCES OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN.
AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR TAF AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC.........MCCOLLUM
AVIATION.......RICKEY

FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF