Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS North Platte, NE

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FXUS63 KLBF 052012
AFDLBF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
212 PM CST FRI FEB 5 2016

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 211 PM CST FRI FEB 5 2016

AS LOW PRESSURE DROPS SOUTHEAST TOWARDS THE OZARKS...LIGHT WESTERLY
WINDS WILL DEVELOP OVER THE HIGH PLAINS AND ADJACENT SANDHILLS. WITH
CLEARING SKIES ANTICIPATED...TEMPERATURES WILL FALL BACK INTO THE
TEENS FOR MOST LOCATIONS.  A FEW UPPER SINGLE DIGIT READINGS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN RIVER VALLEYS WHERE A DEEP SNOW PACK REMAINS.

FOR SATURDAY...WESTERLY LOWER TROPOSPHERIC FLOW OFF THE HIGH PLAINS
WILL PROMOTE A NOTICEABLE WARMUP.  THE HIGH TEMPERATURE FORECAST
WILL RANGE FROM THE UPPER 30S OVER THE DEEP SNOWPACK...TO THE UPPER
40S ACROSS THE NORTH AND NORTHWEST.  HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE
HEAVILY DEPENDENT ON THE AMOUNT OF MIXING...WHICH GIVEN THE
SNOW...WE CONTINUE TO EMPLOY A PESSIMISTIC APPROACH.

.LONG TERM...(SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 211 PM CST FRI FEB 5 2016

A CLIPPER TYPE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO COME OUT OF CANADA AND CROSS
NORTH DAKOTA...MINNESOTA AND THE GREAT LAKES REGION. AN ASSOCIATED
TRAILING FRONT WILL BRING COLD AIR AND STRONG WIND TO CENTRAL AND
WESTERN NEBRASKA. CURRENT INDICATIONS ARE THAT THE WIND WILL BE
NORTH TO NORTHWEST AT 25 TO 35 MPH AND GUSTING TO 45 OR 50 MPH WHICH
IS BELOW THE HIGH WIND THRESHOLD. THERE IS SOME CONCERN THAT THE
CRUST ON THE SNOW MAY BREAK LOOSE AND CAUSE SOME BLOWING AND
DRIFTING SNOW BUT...WITH DAYTIME TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 30S TO
MID 40S...THAT APPEARS UNLIKELY.

STARTING TUESDAY...THE TEMPERATURE TREND FROM ONE DAY TO THE NEXT
WILL BE UPWARD WITH LITTLE OR NO PRECIPITATION EXPECTED.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1124 AM CST FRI FEB 5 2016

VFR CONDITIONS ARE ANTICIPATED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS AT BOTH THE
KLBF AND KVTN TERMINALS. WHILE SOME CEILINGS MAY AT TIMES APPROACH
MVFR CONDITIONS AT THE KVTN TERMINAL...DID NOT FEEL CONFIDENT
ENOUGH TO EVEN INCLUDE A TEMPO GROUP MENTIONING THESE POSSIBLE LOWER
CEILINGS. NORTHWEST WINDS WILL BE BREEZY THIS AFTERNOON...WITH A
FEW GUSTS OF 20 TO 25 KNOTS AT BOTH TERMINALS...BEFORE SUBSIDING
NEAR SUNSET THIS EVENING.


&&

.LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...JACOBS
LONG TERM...SPRINGER
AVIATION...MOLDAN


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