Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Houston/Galveston, TX

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000
FXUS64 KHGX 242332
AFDHGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
532 PM CST MON NOV 24 2014

.DISCUSSION...
00Z AVIATION DISCUSSION BELOW.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR. AN OCCASIONAL FEW-SCT CEILING FROM A SERIES OF APPROACHING
WEAK SHORTWAVE DISTURBANCES THAT WILL EVENTUALLY PUSH THE UPPER
TROUGH AXIS EAST OF THE REGION TUESDAY NIGHT. AS AREA`S SURFACE
RIDGE BUILDS OFF TO THE NORTHEAST...A LIGHT NORTHERLY BREEZE WILL
BECOME MORE VARIABLE BY PERIOD`S CLOSE. 31

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 316 PM CST MON NOV 24 2014/

DISCUSSION...
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING INTO THE AREA TONIGHT IN COMBINATION
WITH LIGHTER WINDS WILL LEAD TO A COOL NIGHT ACROSS SOUTHEAST TEXAS
WITH LOWS RANGING FROM THE UPPER 30S/LOWER 40S NORTH TO THE UPPER 40S/
AROUND 50 AT THE COAST. MID/UPPER LEVEL TROF MOVING EASTWARD ACROSS
THE STATE TONIGHT/TOMORROW IS EXPECTED TO ONLY BRING SOME CLOUDS TO
THE AREA AS LOW LEVELS REMAIN DRY. AFTER ANOTHER COOL NIGHT TUESDAY
NIGHT/WEDNESDAY MORNING...A GRADUAL WARMING TREND WILL BEGIN FOR THE
REMAINDER OF THE WEEK AND ON INTO THE WEEKEND WITH THE RETURN OF ONSHORE
WINDS AND A WARM SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ABOVE THE SURFACE (LOWS IN THE 40S
AND HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 70S ON BOTH THANKSGIVING DAY AND
FRIDAY. STRENGTHENING LOW LEVEL WINDS WILL PUMP UP BOTH MOISTURE LEVELS
AND TEMPERATURES OVER THE WEEKEND WITH LOWS IN THE 50S ON SATURDAY AND
AROUND 60 ON SUNDAY. EXPECT HIGHS IN THE MID 70S BOTH DAYS...AND WE`LL
BRING BACK A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS TO THE AREA TO CLOSE OUT THE MONTH
ON SUNDAY. THE START OF NEXT WEEK (THE FIRST DAY OF DECEMBER) LOOKS
TO BE UNSEASONABLY WARM.  42

&&

MARINE...
ELEVATED WINDS WILL CONTINUE OVER THE OFFSHORE WATERS THROUGH AT
LEAST TUESDAY MORNING IN RESPONSE TO A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT
OVER THE GULF...AND A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT THROUGH
NOON TUESDAY. A SURFACE RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO SLIDE EAST DURING
THE DAY TUESDAY AND WINDS LOOK TO DECREASE OVER THE OFFSHORE
WATERS TUESDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING. OTHERWISE...OFFSHORE FLOW WILL
CONTINUE INTO WEDNESDAY WITH ANY THANKSGIVING MARINE ACTIVITIES
GREETED WITH SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS 5-10 KTS AND 1-2 FT SEAS. STRONG
SOUTHERLY ONSHORE FLOW BECOMES ESTABLISHED BY THE END OF THE WEEK
AS A LEE SURFACE TROUGH DEVELOPS OVER THE HIGH PLAINS...WITH
CAUTION FLAGS POTENTIALLY NEEDED OVER THE WEEKEND. 14

&&

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1137 AM CST MON NOV 24 2014/

DISCUSSION...
PLEASE SEE 18Z AVIATION DISCUSSION BELOW.

AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS TO PREVAIL THROUGH THE PERIOD...WITH AN INCREASE
IN SOME MID/HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THE
END OF THE TAF PERIOD AS A SHORTWAVE TROUGH TRANSLATES ACROSS THE
AREA. OTHERWISE...GUSTY NORTHERLY WINDS /GUSTS AROUND 20 KTS/ WILL
SUBSIDE AS THE BOUNDARY LAYER DECOUPLES LATE AFTERNOON/EARLY
EVENING. NORTHERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO DECREASE TO AROUND 5 KTS
DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AS A SURFACE RIDGE SLIDES CLOSER TO THE
AREA. WINDS WILL INCREASE AGAIN TO AROUND 7-10 KTS FOR TERMINALS
ALONG AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 10 BETWEEN 10-15Z TUESDAY AS THE
SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT TIGHTENS. 14

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
COLLEGE STATION (CLL)      41  64  40  68  43 /   0   0   0   0   0
HOUSTON (IAH)              42  65  41  69  45 /   0   0   0   0   0
GALVESTON (GLS)            50  62  51  68  56 /   0  10   0   0   0

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING FOR
     THE FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA
     SHIP CHANNEL OUT 20 NM...WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO
     FREEPORT OUT 20 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL NOON CST TUESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL
     20 NM TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT 20 TO
     60 NM.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...40
AVIATION/MARINE...31


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