Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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FXUS64 KLZK 281131
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
631 AM CDT WED SEP 28 2016

.AVIATION...
Clear skies will continue today. Morning fog with IFR conditions
at time at ADF will dissipate quickly. A cold front will move
through the state this afternoon and evening and winds will
become northwest behind the front, then north during the overnight
hours.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...(ISSUED 400 AM CDT WED SEP 28 2016
)

SHORT TERM...Today Through Friday
Strong upper level low pressure will be over the Great Lakes at
the beginning of the period with an upper ridge over the Rockies.
The center of the low will move slowly south to Kentucky by
Thursday and stall here through Friday keeping northwest flow
aloft over Arkansas through the short term period.

Clear skies are over Arkansas at this time and are expected to
continue through the period. A cold front will move through the
state this afternoon and evening. No precipitation is expected
with this front, however south and southwest winds will become
northwest behind the front. After highs in the upper 70s to upper
80s this afternoon, a reinforcing shot of cool dry air will bring
lows tonight of around 50 degrees north to the upper 50s in the
south. Surface high pressure will build over Arkansas behind the
front and continue for Thursday and Friday. Highs will only be in
the 70s for Thursday and Friday.

LONG TERM...Friday Night Through Tuesday
The extended forecast will start with the strong surface and upper
low pressure systems over the OH and TN valleys. This will bring a
northwest surface and upper flow in AR, which will be dry and cool
weather. Into Sunday, both the surface and upper low pressure
systems move east. This will allow a south wind flow to gradually
come back to AR over the weekend and early next week, while upper
high pressure ridging moves into the region. This will still keep
weather dry with a lack of any system, while temperatures gradually
warm back to above normal values by a few to around 5 degrees. A
weather system approaches the region late Tuesday to Wednesday, when
the next chance of rain will enter the forecast.

&&

.LZK Watches/Warnings/Advisories...NONE.
&&

$$


Aviation...51



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