Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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FXUS63 KSGF 010512

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service SPRINGFIELD MO
1112 PM CST MON NOV 30 2015

.SHORT TERM...(This Evening through Tuesday)
Issued at 202 PM CST MON NOV 30 2015

Drizzle and light rain will continue to impact the Missouri
Ozarks and Southeastern Kansas into this evening as the storm
system that brought heavy rainfall and flooding to the region
over the past few days makes slow progress to the northeast.

Temperatures were in the middle 40s to around 50 degrees as a
result of the overcast skies and light rainfall. The cloud cover
will continue into this evening

Light rain, drizzle and eventually cloud the cover will begin to
diminish from west to east through this evening as the storm
system moves towards the Great Lakes region dragging the moisture
with it. Weak high pressure will filter into the region and bring
clearing skies to the area overnight. Temperatures will drop into
the 30s as skies clear.

Mostly sunny skies will occur for Tuesday with temperatures again
in the 40s to around 50 degrees. This should be the beginning of
a much needed dry period in the forecast.

.LONG TERM...(Tuesday Night through Monday)
Issued at 202 PM CST MON NOV 30 2015

The Ozarks will be under the influence of an expansive area of
surface high pressure through the remainder of the work week as
the upper level pattern transitions from northwesterly flow aloft
to a bit of upper level ridging by Friday and into the first half
of the weekend.

From Sunday into the early part of next week, a cutoff upper low
is expected by models to move across the plains and bring the
potential for some light precipitation to the area. For now,
models have the precipitation moving through the area quickly
with all the precipitation in liquid form. With this in the day 7
period, will continue to watch things as we get closer to that
time frame, but until then, it looks dry.


.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Tuesday Night)
Issued at 1110 PM CST MON NOV 30 2015

The stratus is finally pushing off to the east with a frontal
boundary. The clearing line was through JLN and should make it
through SGF by the onset of the 06z TAFS and BBG by 07-08z. It
should be a quick transition from MVFR to VFR with a clear sky
expected for the remainder of the TAF period.


.SGF Watches/Warnings/Advisories...


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