Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX

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FXUS64 KSJT 012148
AFDSJT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
347 PM CST SUN FEB 1 2015

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight and Monday)

Post-frontal stratus was slow to dissipate this afternoon, and highs
were a couple degrees cooler than expected. Breezy north winds and
mostly cloudy skies made it seem even colder.

Surface high pressure will continue to build overnight. Winds will
partially decouple this evening, but will take until after midnight
to become light. Model guidance for overnight lows was close, with
lows ranging from 24 to 30 degrees across West Central Texas. The
center of surface high pressure daybreak Monday extends from the Big
Country into Western Oklahoma. Thus, the lightest winds and best
radiational cooling will be in the Big Country tonight. Southerly
winds return Monday midday as the center of surface high pressure
slips into East Texas. Went close to GFS MOS guidance Monday being
in the middle of the air mass.

.LONG TERM...
(Monday night through Sunday)

Mainly a dry forecast this week with a couple of weak cold fronts
affecting the area.

An upper level low will lift northeast from Old Mexico and across
South Texas Tuesday night. This system will bring a chance of
showers to southeast counties mainly late Tuesday afternoon and
evening. See no reason to change inherited POPs and will leave a
slight chance for showers in the forecast for areas southeast of a
Brownwood to Sonora line. Temperatures will be warmer across central
and northern counties on Tuesday with highs in the lower 60s, while
southern counties will remain cooler due to more cloud cover with
highs in the 50s.

Sunny skies and above normal temperatures will prevail on Wednesday
ahead of the next approaching cold front, with highs in the 60s.
The front will move through the area Wednesday night, resulting
in cooler temperatures on Thursday. Dry and warmer weather is
expected Friday through the weekend with highs by Saturday warming
into the lower 70s. Another weak cold front is expected next Sunday
but will only result in slightly cooler temperatures with afternoon
highs mainly in the upper 60s.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  24  50  35  62  42 /   0   0   0   5   5
San Angelo  26  54  35  61  41 /   0   5   5   5  10
Junction  30  54  33  55  41 /   5   5   5  20  20

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

04/24









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