Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
Issued by NWS

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
000
ACUS48 KWNS 300942
SWOD48
SPC AC 300940

DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0340 AM CST FRI JAN 30 2015

VALID 021200Z - 071200Z

...DISCUSSION...
MODEL CONSENSUS IS THAT IN THE MEAN...UPPER PATTERN WILL REMAIN
DOMINATED BY AN UPPER TROUGH OVER THE ERN U.S. THROUGH THE 4-8
PERIOD. THIS PATTERN WILL LIMIT SIGNIFICANT MOISTURE RETURN INLAND
AND OVERALL SEVERE POTENTIAL. EXCEPTION WILL BE OVER FL DURING THE
DAY 6-7 PERIOD WHEN THE CUTOFF UPPER LOW NOW APPROACHING THE BAJA
AREA WILL FINALLY EJECT ENEWD THROUGH THE NRN GULF...DEAMPLIFYING IN
THE PROCESS. IT STILL APPEARS A SEVERE THREAT MIGHT DEVELOP OVER NRN
FL SOMEWHERE IN THE DAY 6-7 TIME FRAME. HOWEVER...MODELS HAVE NOT
DEMONSTRATED SUFFICIENT CONSISTENCY REGARDING THE TIMING AND
AMPLITUDE OF THIS FEATURE TO INTRODUCE A CATEGORICAL RISK AREA AT
THIS TIME.

..DIAL.. 01/30/2015


USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.