Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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FXUS64 KAMA 261736
AFDAMA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
1236 PM CDT THU MAR 26 2015

.AVIATION...
18Z TAFS...
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD. VARIABLE
WINDS...MAINLY WEST TO NORTH AND LESS THAN 12KTS WILL CONTINUE
ACROSS THE PANHANDLES. WINDS WILL BECOME SOUTHERLY FRIDAY MORNING.

ELSENHEIMER

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 406 AM CDT THU MAR 26 2015/

SHORT TERM...
COLD FRONT HAS PUSHED WELL SOUTH OF THE AREA...ALLOWING FOR THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT TO RELAX OVER THE TEXAS AND OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES
EARLY THIS MORNING. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING OVER THE CENTRAL
PLAINS WILL INFLUENCE NORTHERLY WINDS TO CONTINUE TO DIMINISH ACROSS
THE AREA THIS MORNING. THIS SURFACE HIGH IS EXPECTED TO SLIDE
SOUTHWARD DURING THE DAY...MAINTAINING LIGHT WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS
ALONG WITH MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES. HOWEVER COLD AIR BEHIND THE FRONT WILL
LEAD TO A COLD START TO THE DAY ALONG WITH MAX TEMPERATURES ONLY
CLIMBING INTO THE 60S...MAKING FOR A NOTICEABLY COOLER DAY ESPECIALLY
IN THE SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS PANHANDLE.

A WEAK SURFACE LOW WILL DEVELOP OVER SOUTHERN KANSAS THIS EVENING
BEFORE SLIDING SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE AREA FRIDAY MORNING. WINDS
WILL REMAIN LIGHT WHILE MAINTAINING A WEST TO NORTHWESTERLY
TRAJECTORY. A FEW MID-LEVEL CLOUDS CAN LEAD TO A SLIGHTLY WARMER
OVERNIGHT PERIOD...ALTHOUGH STILL EXPECT LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S
OVER MUCH OF THE AREA.

LONG TERM...
QUIET AND PLEASANT SPRING-LIKE WEATHER IS EXPECTED THIS WEEKEND AND
INTO THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. TEMPERATURES WILL BE QUICK TO REBOUND
BACK INTO THE 70S FRIDAY AS HEIGHTS RISE ON THE EASTERN PERIPHERY OF
AN AMPLIFIED UPPER RIDGE OVER THE WESTERN CONUS. THIS RIDGE WILL
GRADUALLY SHIFT TO THE EAST THIS WEEKEND...ALTHOUGH AN UPPER-LEVEL
DISTURBANCE PASSING OVER THE INTER-MOUNTAIN WEST REGION WILL HELP TO
DE-AMPLIFY THE RIDGE. THIS WILL ALSO SEND A WEAK COLD FRONT THROUGH
THE AREA SUNDAY...ALTHOUGH THE EFFECTS OF THIS FRONT WILL NOT BE
QUITE AS DRAMATIC AS THE FRONT THAT MOVED THROUGH THE REGION
YESTERDAY. THUS LOOKING AT AN UNSEASONABLY WARM WEEKEND ESPECIALLY ON
SATURDAY WHERE HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO CLIMB INTO THE 80S.

BEYOND SUNDAY...A PACIFIC UPPER-LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE ACROSS
NORTHERN OLD MEXICO AND CENTRAL TEXAS EARLY NEXT WEEK. MEDIUM RANGE
MODEL GUIDANCE DIFFER ON THE EXACT TRACK AND STRENGTH OF THIS SYSTEM
SO HAVE KEPT THE FORECAST DRY WITH THIS FORECAST PACKAGE. ANOTHER
UPPER-LEVEL DISTURBANCE IN THE NORTHERN STREAM WILL DIG ACROSS THE
CENTRAL ROCKIES TOWARD THE END OF NEXT WEEK. THIS SYSTEM CAN BRING A
CHANCE OF RAIN TO MAINLY THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE AREA ALONG WITH
SENDING ANOTHER COLD FRONT THROUGH THE AREA. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL
GENERALLY BE IN THE 70S FOR MUCH OF THE PERIOD.

CLK

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.

&&

$$

18/17





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