Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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FXUS64 KAMA 270950

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
450 AM CDT Thu Oct 27 2016

12Z Issuance...The next 24 hours should remain VFR for all sites.
Southerly winds will be gusty for the northwest area this afternoon.



.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 349 AM CDT Thu Oct 27 2016/

Dry and mild weather is expected to continue for the next few days
with no chance for rain through Tuesday.  Weather will be driven by
mid-level ridge over southwest and south-central CONUS causing dry
trajectories for the Texas and Oklahoma Panhandles in weak flow.

Glimmer of hope for rain begins as a Pacific shortwave trof comes
ashore on Tuesday.  Have introduced slight chance for showers and
thunderstorms Wednesday, which seems to be the earliest opportunity
for this feature to reach the forecast area.  Models differ quite a
bit regarding development and timing of trof.  Have continued low
pops into Thursday due to these uncertainties.

Otherwise, temperatures well above normal expected to continue
through Monday with highs mostly in the mid- to upper-80s.  A weak
cold front may slip into northern sections Friday with little to no
fanfare.  Another front Monday night has a better chance for a
better intrusion into the area.  Models not in agreement regarding
surface features Tuesday and beyond, but the potential for low-level
moist flow Tuesday night and Wednesday warrants the inclusion of
pops.  03


Elevated fire weather conditions may briefly develop this afternoon
across a few locations in northwest sections of the combined
Panhandles.  Elevated fire weather conditions are expected to
develop on Friday across the northwestern one-third of the combined
Panhandles.  Elevated fire weather conditions may briefly develop on
Monday across the northwest half of the combined Panhandles.  03


.AMA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...



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