Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Boise, ID

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000
FXUS65 KBOI 062157
AFDBOI

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOISE ID
257 PM MST FRI MAR 6 2015

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...WE WILL REMAIN UNDER THE
INFLUENCE OF A RIDGE ALOFT THROUGH SUNDAY...BRINGING CONTINUED
MILD WEATHER...MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES...AND LIGHT WINDS. TEMPS WILL BE
AROUND 10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL FOR HIGHS AND AROUND 5 DEGREES
ABOVE NORMAL FOR LOWS.

.LONG TERM...SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY...UPPER LEVEL RIDGE THAT
HAS BEEN OFF THE WEST COAST THE LAST SEVERAL DAYS WILL MOVE
INLAND MONDAY AND WILL BE OVER THE FORECAST AREA BY TUESDAY.
CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN DRY WITH TEMPERATURES WARMING TO 15 TO 20
DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL TUESDAY. HIGH TEMPERATURES ON TUESDAY WILL BE
IN THE UPPER 60S IN LOW ELEVATION VALLEYS WITH LOW 70S POSSIBLE
ALONG THE SNAKE RIVER. MOUNTAIN VALLEYS WILL BE IN THE 50S.
TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY MODELS ARE IN BETTER AGREEMENT WITH
THE NEXT UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MOVING INTO THE REGION BUT STILL
DIFFER ON TIMING AND PLACEMENT OF PRECIPITATION. WITH LOW
CONFIDENCE IN THE MODELS WILL TREND TOWARD A MODEL BLEND. AS THE
TROUGH MOVES CLOSER TEMPERATURES ON WEDNESDAY WILL NOT BE AS WARM
BUT HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN AROUND 10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY...MODELS ARE FINALLY COMING TO A
CONSENSUS INDICATING A WEAKENING OF THE TROUGH AS IT MOVES INTO
THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST. EXPECT SHOWERS ACROSS THE REGION WITH SNOW
LEVELS AT 6500-7000 FT...DRYING OUT AS THE NEXT RIDGE AXIS MOVES
INLAND FRIDAY FOR THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEKEND. TEMPERATURES WILL
CONTINUE TO HOVER 5-10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR UNDER SCATTERED HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS. SURFACE WINDS
BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE AFTER SUNSET. WINDS ALOFT WILL BE
NORTHWESTERLY AROUND 15 KNOTS UP THROUGH 10K FEET MSL.

&&

.BOI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...NONE.
OR...NONE.

&&

$$

WEATHER.GOV/BOISE

SHORT TERM...SP
LONG TERM....JA/AB
AVIATION.....JA



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