Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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FXUS65 KFGZ 291036

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
336 AM MST Sat Apr 29 2017

.SYNOPSIS...Expect below normal temperatures today with a chance
of showers across eastern Arizona. Dry weather with a strong
warming trend starts Sunday and continues through next week.


.DISCUSSION...The main weather feature of interest will continue
to be the closed upper low currently near the Four Corners with a
cold pool aloft. The low will swing southeastward into New Mexico
today and quickly lift into the middle part of the country on
Sunday. With the low in the vicinity of the area, below normal
temperatures and a continued chance of showers in eastern Arizona
are expected today. Winds will remain northerly and be breezy at

As the system departs the area on Sunday, northwesterly winds will
develop along with a warming trend into next week. A building
ridge of high pressure will slowly slide east and become centered
over the southwest US after mid week. This will bring
unseasonably warm temperatures and continued dry weather to
northern Arizona for the latter half of next week.


.AVIATION...For the 12Z Package...Expect isolated to scattered rain
and snow showers today producing periodic MVFR conditions from KINW
eastward to the New Mexico border. VFR expected elsewhere. Thunder
is possible this afternoon southeast of a KSOW-KRQE line. N to NE
winds today 10-20 kts. Gusts near 30 kts through around sunset.
Aviation discussion not updated for amendments.


.FIRE WEATHER... Expect cool and breezy weather across the area
today. The chance for showers will continue over Apache and Navajo
Counties with dry conditions elsewhere. Low elevations of Yavapai
County will continue to see low afternoon humidity values. Dry
weather continues into Sunday with temperatures beginning to warm.

Monday through Wednesday...A period of dry weather with less wind
and above normal daytime temperatures is expected.






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