Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Jacksonville, FL

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FXUS62 KJAX 221322
AFDJAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
922 AM EDT TUE JUL 22 2014

.UPDATE...

UPPER LOW CAN BE SEEN IN SATELLITE SPINNING OVER WESTERN FL
PANHANDLE THIS MORNING. EXPECT MOST ENERGY ASSOCIATED WITH THIS
SYSTEM WILL STAY WEST OF THE FORECAST AREA THIS AFTERNOON...SO
CONVECTION INITIATION WILL PRIMARILY BE FROM DIURNAL HEATING AIDED
BY SEA BREEZE INTERACTIONS. IN THIS PATTERN...EXPECTING
CONVECTION TO INITIATE NEAR I95 AND I75 CORRIDORS EARLY THIS
AFTERNOON. THIS AREA WILL THEN SHIFT FURTHER INLAND LATER IN THE
AFTERNOON ALONG THE SEA BREEZE BOUNDARIES. MORNING SOUNDING SHOWS LITTLE
FLOW...SO STORMS WILL BE SLOW MOVING AND HAVE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY
RAINFALL AND GUSTY WINDS.

&&

.AVIATION...

PREVAILING VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THIS MORNING.
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED FOR THIS AFTERNOON...WHICH
COULD RESULT IN GUSTY WINDS AND BRIEF RESTRICTIONS.

&&



.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  92  73  95  73 /  50  40  40  30
SSI  86  76  89  76 /  40  20  40  40
JAX  88  73  92  74 /  50  30  40  40
SGJ  86  74  90  75 /  50  30  50  40
GNV  90  71  93  72 /  70  50  40  30
OCF  90  72  93  73 /  60  40  40  30

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GA...NONE.
AM...NONE.
&&

$$

STRUBLE





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