Area Forecast Discussion
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FXUS64 KLUB 181115
AFDLUB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
515 AM CST Sat Nov 18 2017

.AVIATION...
VFR is expected at all terminals. A very strong cold front will
move through the area in the early morning Saturday morning. This
will shift winds to the north with sustained speeds close to 30kt
and gusts to 40kts through the early part of the afternoon.
Elevated wind speeds are expected through through late afternoon/
early evening.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 411 AM CST Sat Nov 18 2017/

DISCUSSION...
A potent trough axis will move across the area today with the mean
flow becoming northwesterly tonight.  NW flow aloft will persist
through the weekend though a deepening trough will slide across the
region Sunday night.  The next trough axis (diving across the
Canadian Prairies) will pass to our north on Tuesday morning and
phase with Monday`s system.  This will, in turn, allow ridging out
west to amplify and turn our mid level wind field more northerly
through Friday.  The western ridge will flatten once again as
another trough zips through on Saturday which looks to have more of
in influence on our weather.

Today`s cold front is making its way through the Texas Panhandle
early this morning with much vigor.  Things continue to look
supportive of the ongoing wind advisory set to start at 12Z.  Winds
will remain up until mid afternoon as high pressure begins to settle
into the region.  This will set the stage for a cool overnight
period with light winds and clear skies.  A quick return to
southwesterlies is anticipated for Sunday with mildly breezy
conditions during the afternoon.  Both today and tomorrow will be
markedly cooler than we saw yesterday with highs remaining in the
upper 50s and lower 60s.  Thanks to lee troughing to our west, winds
are expected to remain up on Sunday night.  It appears that a
dryline/Pacific front will move in on Monday followed by another
Canadian front Tuesday morning.  This front also looks to be a bit
on the breezy side though current guidance pegs it to be under
advisory criteria at this time.  Some minor frontal pushes will
continue through the end of the work week with a stronger cold
front arriving next Saturday. All the while, we`re expecting dry
weather to continue.

&&

.LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Wind Advisory until 3 PM CST this afternoon for TXZ021>044.

&&

$$

99/99/28



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