Area Forecast Discussion
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FXUS64 KLUB 220448
AFDLUB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
1048 PM CST Sun Jan 21 2018

.AVIATION...
VFR conditions will continue through Monday. Monday afternoon
wind speeds will increase at KCDS into the 20 to 30 knot range.
At KLBB and KPVW winds will remain between 10 to 15 knots. Winds
will decrease further Monday evening.



PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 248 PM CST Sun Jan 21 2018/

DISCUSSION...
More dry weather can be expected through the week ahead. The
upper level system currently impacting the region will be slow to
depart on Monday. This will keep a strong height gradient aloft in
the wake of the system on Monday afternoon. Good mixing will
continue which will be able to tap into some higher winds aloft,
particularly across the southern Texas Panhandle and Rolling
Plains closer to the upper level low. Although wind speeds will be
less than observed this afternoon.

Weak upper level ridging will move overhead midweek with surface
lee troughing returning as early as Wednesday afternoon. A weak
and dry short wave will eject out over the region on Thursday
ahead of a deeper trough back to the west. This trough is expected
to be broader and more expansive than the one currently moving
through. This upper level trough will ramp up the surface lee
troughing on Thursday and Friday leading to warmer temperatures
and breezier winds. This will be followed by a cold front on
Friday night/Saturday morning.

FIRE WEATHER...
Critical fire weather conditions will continue for the next
several hours as very strong winds have spread over the area.
These red flag conditions will mostly be areas south of a line
from Morton to Memphis. Elevated fire weather conditions are
expected to continue north of this line. As this strong upper
level storm system departs on Monday, the Rolling Plains and
southeastern Texas Panhandle will still be under the influence of
this system and thus stronger surface winds. Very dry air still in
place may allow critical conditions to develop across these areas.
Therefore, a fire weather watch has been issued.

&&

.LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Fire Weather Watch from Monday morning through Monday afternoon
for TXZ023>026-030>032-037-038.

&&

$$

99/99/28



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