Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL

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FXUS62 KMLB 280112

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
912 PM EDT SAT AUG 27 2016

.DISCUSSION...Deep easterly flow persists overnight between ridge
extending along the eastern seaboard and weak tropical wave/low
pressure (Invest 99L) near the north coast of central Cuba.
Sufficient moisture and elevated easterly low level winds around
15-20 knots at 925mb will continue to generate isolated to
scattered showers and storms over the waters overnight. This
activity will move onshore and weaken as it moves inland, with
therefore the best potential for rain remaining along the coast.
Will keep rain chances ranging from 30 percent across coastal
areas tonight and up to 20 percent inland. Onshore flow will keep
min temps above normal in the mid to upper 70s, with low 80s along
the immediate coast. Forecast on track with no changes planned.


.AVIATION...Mainly VFR overnight. Best chance for brief tempo
IFR/MVFR conds will be along the coast with any onshore moving
iso/sct showers and storms. Have kept VCSH in for the coastal TAF
sites through the night and into the morning hours Sunday.


Tonight-Sunday...(Previous Discussion) Weak t-wave over
Cuba/Andros Island will push thru the FL Straits/Keys and into the
SE GOMex...generating a gentle to moderate easterly breeze as it
interacts with a hi pres ridge over the eastern CONUS. Seas 3-4ft
nearshore and 4-5ft offshore. Sct shras/isold tsras. Wave models
picking up on a long pd swell generated by distant hurricane
Gaston impacting the east FL coast aft sunset Sunday...dominant
pds incrsg to 14-15sec.


.MLB Watches/Warnings/Advisories...


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