Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL

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FXUS62 KMLB 271340
AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
940 AM EDT Sat May 27 2017

.DISCUSSION...

...Sunny, Dry and Hot this Memorial Day Weekend...

Today-Tonight...Weak high pressure ridge will extend from the Gulf
of Mexico across the Florida peninsula and into the Atlantic.
Morning soundings across central Florida continued to show
precipitable water below one inch.  It was more moist over south
Florida, but with the ridge in place, there will only be slight
moderation of the dry air mass as the sea breeze pushes slowly
inland this afternoon.  Skies look sunny except for a few cumulus
that form, then dissipate as dry air aloft mixes down.

After morning lows in the 60s, and even a few upper 50s,
temperatures will recover and be warmer than yesterday.  No changes
expected to the current forecast for mid 90s across the interior and
upper 80s at the coast.

&&

.AVIATION...After a few patches of stratus along the coast early
this morning, it will be VFR into tonight.  Local MVFR BR possible
early Sunday morning.

&&

.MARINE...
Today-Tonight...About as good of boating conditions as you could
expect for a Memorial Day Weekend.  Weak high pressure ridge was
producing variable winds around 5 knots and seas around 2 feet.
Little change through tonight except for the afternoon sea breeze
near shore around 10 knots.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Today...Shallow layer of cool air brought below normal minimum
temps, but low level warming was indicated on the morning soundings.
This will cause high temps to be several degrees warmer than
yesterday. Afternoon dew points will be in the 50s again as dry air
just above the surface mixes down.  This will create min RH values
below 30 percent across most of the interior. Short range guidance
is showing lower RH than our current forecast, so will need to make
some adjustments.  Still, based on fuel moisture, only Orange &
Seminole counties will require a Red Flag Warning, though RH values
will be just as low in the adjacent interior sections.

Sunday...Min RHs will drop to 30 to 35 percent across the interior.
Marginal duration of low RH is expected.

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...Red Flag Warning from noon today to 8 PM EDT this evening for
     Orange-Seminole.

AM...None.
&&

$$

Forecasts...Lascody
Impact Wx...Johnson



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