Area Forecast Discussion
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FXUS61 KPBZ 241012
AFDPBZ

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pittsburgh PA
612 AM EDT TUE MAY 24 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure will provide dry weather today and Wednesday,
before shower chances return Wednesday night. A warming trend is
expected through the week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
No changes were needed for the dawn update.

Previous...
Drier air will continue to work into the area today. With plenty
of sunshine, good atmospheric mixing is expected which will allow
temperatures to warm to above normal levels.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Strong ridge will build in over the area tonight and hold through
most of Wednesday. A shortwave trough will move into Western Ohio
late Wednesday and begin the process of shifting the ridge axis to
the east. With a lack of moisture and subsidence under the ridge,
most of Wednesday should remain dry. A late day shower or storm
cannot be ruled out over Ohio as the shortwave will increase
large scale ascent over a destabilized lower atmosphere.

Very warm Wednesday with temperatures 10+ degrees above normal.

Shower chance will increase across the entire area Wednesday
night, as aforementioned shortwave continues it slow trek
eastward.

It will take most of Thursday for the trough axis to make it
through, necessitating the inclusion of pops through much of the
day.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
Ensembles are in good agreement that a broad and rather strong
ridge will develop over the Eastern US through the much of the long
term.

This will provide the area with very warm temperatures and
increasing levels of humidity.

&&

.AVIATION /10Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
High pressure will maintain VFR at all terminals for the period,
with exception for peri-dawn fog. Restrictions were confined to
ports nearest water sources.

.OUTLOOK /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
The next chance for restrictions will come with the advance and
passage of a disturbance late Wednesday and Thursday.

&&

.PBZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MD...None.
OH...None.
PA...None.
WV...None.

&&

$$
15/22


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