Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
000
FXUS63 KSGF 030445
AFDSGF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1145 PM CDT Tue Jun 2 2015

.SHORT TERM...(This Evening through Wednesday)
Issued at 324 PM CDT TUE JUN 2 2015

This period will be characterized by a building 500mb ridge from
Texas into the Ozarks. The clouds that have been around the area the
past several days should become less numerous as heights build.
However, models do continue to show residual moisture around the
area tonight so still expect some clouds.

With the building ridge, any convection looks to remain north and
west of the area through the day tomorrow with a complex likely to
develop later Wednesday afternoon over the Plains.

850mb temperatures warm 4 degrees Celsius over the next 24 hours and
along with more sunshine will allow temperatures to begin an upward
trend closer to early June normals by Wednesday afternoon.

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday Night through Tuesday)
Issued at 324 PM CDT TUE JUN 2 2015

Biggest question in this time frame is position of the upper level
ridge and handling of potential MCS`s rolling out the the Central
Plains towards the area, so overall low confidence in the details of
the forecast. First such MCS could potentially affect the far
northwestern areas of the forecast area Wednesday night into
Thursday morning. If these do make it into the region there could be
a marginal risk of severe weather. After that ridge holds in place
with forecast area on the southern periphery of any convective
activity at least through Friday. By this weekend and into early
next week models indicate a breakdown of the ridge which would lead
to better convective chances and thus expecting a little more
unsettled weather this weekend into early next week. Will have to
monitor for severe weather potential with any of these complexes
dropping out of the Plains.

Temperatures and humidities will be on the upswing as readings
become more summer like with highs in the 80s and lows in the 60s.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Wednesday Night)
Issued at 1143 PM CDT TUE JUN 2 2015

Pilots can expect more favorable flight conditions overall at area
terminals through Wednesday. Areas of MVFR ceilings and
visibilities in light fog may develop overnight. However any lower
ceilings are expected to lift more quickly on Wednesday. Otherwise
pilots can expect a southeasterly breeze at the surface with high
pressure centered to the east of the area.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Raberding
LONG TERM...Raberding
AVIATION...Foster





USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.