Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX

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FXUS64 KSJT 230909
AFDSJT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
409 AM CDT SAT AUG 23 2014

.SHORT TERM...
(Today and Tonight)

Very little change for the west central Texas region through the
next 24 hours. The upper level high will remain parked across the
southern CONUS and northern Gulf of Mexico in the near term.
Surface winds will continue to stream out of the south to
southeast, although we are expecting speeds to be a little
lighter today. Convection is again expected to develop off of the
higher terrain to our west, and remain west of us. Went too cool
yesterday for both highs and lows, so will go on the warm side of
guidance for highs/lows today and tonight.

20

.LONG TERM...
/Sunday through Friday/
An upper level ridge of high pressure will dominate the weather
across West Central Texas through early next week. As a result, a
hot and dry forecast is in store across the area. Highs will be
mainly 95 to 100 with lows in the 70s. Medium range models are
indicating a possible slight change in the upper level flow pattern
for middle to late next week. An upper level trough will move into
the central CONUS, which suppresses 50H heights across the Southern
Plains. Also, a cool front/wind shift will probably move south
across much of West Central Texas. The GFS and ECWMF models pretty
much agree on the QPF amounts over our area. Will keep mainly slight
chance POPS going for late next week.

21

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene  99  74  99  74  99 /   5   5   5   5   5
San Angelo  98  73  99  74  99 /   5   5   5   5   5
Junction  96  73  96  74  96 /   0   5   5   5   0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$









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