Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX

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FXUS64 KSJT 301729

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service SAN ANGELO TX
1229 PM CDT SAT APR 30 2016

/18Z TAFS/

Mainly VFR conditions through the next 15 to 18 hours, with an
expected return to MVFR CIGs by early Sunday morning.

A cold front has moved into the area today, turning winds to
light northerly or light and variable. Winds will eventually turn
to east/southeasterly this evening, then northeast overnight. Due
to the shallow cold air mass, moist southerly flow is expected to
ride up and over the top resulting in low cloud development
between 10Z/5AM and 12Z/7AM Sunday morning from south to north.



.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 629 AM CDT SAT APR 30 2016/

/12Z TAFS/

Scattered mid level clouds will continue to slowly weaken across
West Central Texas this morning, leaving VFR conditions for area
terminals. A weak cold front moving through the area will shift
winds around to the east and northeast, but will remain at 10
knots or less.

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 335 AM CDT SAT APR 30 2016/

(Today and Tonight)

Quiet in the short term, with dry conditions expected through Sunday
morning. A cold front sliding through West Central Texas will allow
for a cooler air mass to settle into at least about the northeast
half of the area. Despite the boundary in the area, low level
moisture will remain limited, with dewpoints only in the 40s and
lower 50s even across the eastern portions of the area. Will
continue the dry forecast already in place. Forecast highs will stay
in the 70s across the I-20 corridor from Sweetwater to Abilene north
of the frontal boundary, with the warmest conditions across Crockett
County in the southwest.

Moisture will not make a significant return until the day on Sunday,
so lows tonight will be cool. Lows in the lower 50s north to lower
60s south.

(Sunday through Friday)

On Sunday, northeast winds of 10 to 20 mph along with increasing
cloud cover should result in below normal temperatures, with high
mainly in the 70s across West Central Texas. An upper level
shortwave trough will approach the Desert Southwest Sunday, then
move across the Southern Plains Monday. With the approach of this
system, large scale lift will move into the region, resulting in
scattered showers and thunderstorms. Showers and thunderstorms are
expected to develop across our western counties Sunday afternoon,
the spread across much of the area Sunday night into Monday. The
best rain chances will shift south and east of the area Monday
night. The expected cloud cover/precipitation should result in cool
temperatures on Monday, with highs mainly in the 60s. At this time,
the severe weather threat looks minimal, although an isolated strong
to possibly severe thunderstorm is possible.

Drier conditions are expected for Tuesday through the end of the
work week, as upper level ridging develops across West Central
Texas. A slow warm up will ensue with highs on Tuesday into the 70s
and high temperatures on Thursday in the 80s for all of the area.
The next upper level shortwave trough will approach the region
next weekend, possibly bringing another chance of showers and


Abilene  77  52  71  51 /   5   5  10  50
San Angelo  85  55  74  54 /   5  10  20  50
Junction  86  61  79  59 /   5  10  20  50


.SJT Watches/Warnings/Advisories...

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