Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS
FXUS62 KTAE 281940
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
340 PM EDT THU APR 28 2016
.NEAR TERM [Through Tonight]...
Thick cirrus clouds from morning convection west of the region
limited convective coverage early today west of the Apalachicola and
Chattahoochee Rivers. Further east, where the cloud deck was
thinner, scattered storms are developing along the seabreeze in
north Florida. Expect overall coverage to be low with all storms
coming to an end around sunset. There still remains a low-end threat
for some gusty winds or small hail, primarily across north Florida
and possibly into extreme south-central Georgia over the next couple
of hours. Fog and low clouds are expected once again tonight.
.SHORT TERM [Friday Through Saturday Night]...
The short term period will feature a building ridge. There will
still be enough moisture for a few showers in the afternoons, but
PoPs will be 20% or less. Rain chances will increase Saturday night
ahead of the next cold front. Temperatures will be above normal
with highs in the upper 80s and lows in the upper 60s (normal
values for Tallahassee are 83 and 56).
.LONG TERM [Sunday Through Thursday]...
The cold front will approach the area on Sunday and then will
stall out across the CWA. Rain chances will linger through early
next week with 20 to 30% expected each day. By Thursday we will
begin a drying trend. Temperatures will be slightly cooler, with
highs in the mid 80s and lows in the 60s.
.AVIATION [Through 18Z Friday]...
Strato-CU building in behind outflow from this morning`s storms has
lowered ceilings to MVFR at DHN, ECP, and ABY. Expect this MVFR deck
to not be continuous, resulting in on-and-off restrictions at these
terminals. All sites should return to VFR temporarily by this
evening, before low ceilings and visibilities return to at least
TLH, ECP, and DHN later tonight.
Southerly winds will be 10 knots or less with seas 3 feet or less
for the next several days.
Drier conditions are expected on Friday and through much of
Saturday. Rain chances will begin to increase late Saturday and
through the remainder of the weekend. Relative humidity values
will remain above critical levels, so there are no fire weather
Locally heavy rain is possible with thunderstorms this evening but
widespread significant rain is not expected. There are no river
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Tallahassee 69 89 68 89 68 / 10 10 0 10 10
Panama City 72 81 70 82 71 / 10 10 0 0 10
Dothan 67 88 67 87 68 / 10 10 0 10 10
Albany 67 89 66 89 68 / 10 0 0 20 20
Valdosta 69 89 67 90 68 / 10 10 10 20 20
Cross City 69 88 66 90 68 / 10 10 0 10 20
Apalachicola 70 81 69 81 70 / 10 10 0 0 10