Area Forecast Discussion
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801
FXUS62 KTAE 250118
AFDTAE

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
818 PM EST Fri Nov 24 2017

.UPDATE...

The only changes to the previous forecast were to lower the low
temperatures a couple of degrees based on the latest trends and
decent radiational cooling conditions expected tonight. There is
also a chance of some patchy fog across the far western portions
of the area late tonight.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION [610 PM EST]...

.NEAR TERM [Through Tonight]...

The short wave is now east of the area with plenty of dry air in
place at mid/upper levels per water vapor imagery. At the surface,
low pressure developing off the Northeast Florida coast is pulling
dry air into the region at lower levels, while clouds associated
with the low remain well to the east. The result will be a mostly
sunny day with seasonal temperatures. An inverted trough over the
eastern Gulf of Mexico may touch off some showers of the marine area
overnight. Look for lows in the lower 40s inland to upper 50s coast.


.SHORT TERM [Saturday Through Sunday Night]...

An upper level trough and associated surface cold front will sweep
through Saturday night. The front will bring increasing cloudiness
but no rain is expected. Surface high pressure will settle in on
Sunday along with a cooler and drier airmass. Lows will be in the
lower to mid 40s. Highs Saturday around 70 to the lower 70s and
upper 60s to around 70 on Sunday.


.LONG TERM [Monday Through Friday]...

Surface high pressure centered over the Tennessee Valley Monday
will slide east and off the mid-Atlantic coast Tuesday with low
level flow becoming easterly. Although moisture will gradually
increase, little if any rain is expected until later in the week
with the approach of the next cold front. Highs will mostly be
around 70 to the middle 70s. Lows will moderate from the lower 40s
to the lower 50s through the week.


.AVIATION [Through 00Z Sunday]...

Most sites will remain VFR this period. However, increasing
moisture progged on short range models across SE AL may lead to
MVFR vsbys at DHN around dawn which will dissipate by 8-9AM.


.MARINE...

Winds will be light with low seas at least through mid week.


.FIRE WEATHER...

No hazardous fire weather conditions are expected for the next
several days.


.HYDROLOGY...

With limited rain chances over the next week, flooding is not
anticipated.


.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always
encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they
occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...

Tallahassee   43  71  46  70  42 /   0   0   0   0   0
Panama City   50  71  49  69  46 /   0   0   0   0   0
Dothan        43  70  44  67  40 /   0   0   0   0   0
Albany        41  69  44  67  41 /   0   0   0   0   0
Valdosta      41  70  45  68  43 /   0   0   0   0   0
Cross City    44  72  47  71  45 /   0   0   0   0   0
Apalachicola  50  71  51  69  47 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

UPDATE...DVD
NEAR TERM...Wool
SHORT TERM...Barry
LONG TERM...Barry
AVIATION...Scholl
MARINE...Barry
FIRE WEATHER...Scholl
HYDROLOGY...Fieux



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