Area Forecast Discussion
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FXUS62 KTAE 281940
AFDTAE

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
340 PM EDT THU APR 28 2016

.NEAR TERM [Through Tonight]...

Thick cirrus clouds from morning convection west of the region
limited convective coverage early today west of the Apalachicola and
Chattahoochee Rivers. Further east, where the cloud deck was
thinner, scattered storms are developing along the seabreeze in
north Florida. Expect overall coverage to be low with all storms
coming to an end around sunset. There still remains a low-end threat
for some gusty winds or small hail, primarily across north Florida
and possibly into extreme south-central Georgia over the next couple
of hours. Fog and low clouds are expected once again tonight.



.SHORT TERM [Friday Through Saturday Night]...

The short term period will feature a building ridge. There will
still be enough moisture for a few showers in the afternoons, but
PoPs will be 20% or less. Rain chances will increase Saturday night
ahead of the next cold front. Temperatures will be above normal
with highs in the upper 80s and lows in the upper 60s (normal
values for Tallahassee are 83 and 56).

.LONG TERM [Sunday Through Thursday]...

The cold front will approach the area on Sunday and then will
stall out across the CWA. Rain chances will linger through early
next week with 20 to 30% expected each day. By Thursday we will
begin a drying trend. Temperatures will be slightly cooler, with
highs in the mid 80s and lows in the 60s.

&&

.AVIATION [Through 18Z Friday]...

Strato-CU building in behind outflow from this morning`s storms has
lowered ceilings to MVFR at DHN, ECP, and ABY. Expect this MVFR deck
to not be continuous, resulting in on-and-off restrictions at these
terminals. All sites should return to VFR temporarily by this
evening, before low ceilings and visibilities return to at least
TLH, ECP, and DHN later tonight.

&&

.MARINE...

Southerly winds will be 10 knots or less with seas 3 feet or less
for the next several days.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

Drier conditions are expected on Friday and through much of
Saturday. Rain chances will begin to increase late Saturday and
through the remainder of the weekend. Relative humidity values
will remain above critical levels, so there are no fire weather
concerns.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...

Locally heavy rain is possible with thunderstorms this evening but
widespread significant rain is not expected. There are no river
concerns.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...

Tallahassee   69  89  68  89  68 /  10  10   0  10  10
Panama City   72  81  70  82  71 /  10  10   0   0  10
Dothan        67  88  67  87  68 /  10  10   0  10  10
Albany        67  89  66  89  68 /  10   0   0  20  20
Valdosta      69  89  67  90  68 /  10  10  10  20  20
Cross City    69  88  66  90  68 /  10  10   0  10  20
Apalachicola  70  81  69  81  70 /  10  10   0   0  10

&&

.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

FL...None.
GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...None.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...Harrigan
SHORT TERM...Weston
LONG TERM...Weston
AVIATION...Harrigan
MARINE...Weston
FIRE WEATHER...Godsey
HYDROLOGY...Weston


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