Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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FXUS65 KFGZ 252232

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
332 PM MST WED MAY 25 2016

.SYNOPSIS...A weak low pressure system will produce chances for
showers and thunderstorms tonight into Friday. Moisture will
linger into early next week with a very slight chances of showers
and thunderstorms each day. Otherwise, warmer temperatures are in
store starting Friday and into next week.


Low pressure centered over southern California will shift
eastward and across Arizona tonight and Thursday leading to
chances for showers and thunderstorms for the Northland. Look for
winds to be notably less breezy over the next several days in
comparison to this last week. Daytime temps will also rebound to
near normal levels over the coming Memorial Day holiday weekend.
Still, weak disturbances after this initial low make it difficult
to have high confidence in a completely dry forecast for the
weekend and early next week.


.AVIATION...For the 00Z package...Mostly VFR conditions will
continue over northern Arizona through the forecast period.
Southwest winds 15-25 kts through 02Z, with winds decreasing to
5-10 kts overnight. There is a slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms tonight, mainly from Flagstaff north and west.
Better chances of showers and storms across higher elevations in
northern Arizona tomorrow afternoon with westerly winds 10-20 kts.
Aviation discussion not updated for TAF amendments.


.FIRE WEATHER...Slight chance of showers and storms from Flagstaff
north and west tonight. Better chance of showers and
thunderstorms across most higher elevation areas Thursday and
Friday afternoon. Weaker winds are expected Thursday and Friday.

Saturday through Monday...Drier conditions arrive for the weekend
into early next week, with relatively light winds expected.
Critical fire weather conditions are not expected at this time.






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