Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Jacksonville, FL

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FXUS62 KJAX 240716
AFDJAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
315 AM EDT FRI OCT 24 2014

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/...

A MID LEVEL TROUGH WILL PIVOT ACROSS THE REGION TODAY...
WITH HIGH CLOUDINESS ASSOCIATED IT. EXPECT MOST OF THESE CLOUDS
TO PASS EAST OF THE REGION THIS EVENING AS THE TROUGH AXIS MOVES
SOUTHEAST...WITH SKIES BECOMING MAINLY CLEAR OVERNIGHT.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL TODAY...AND AGAIN
TONIGHT.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST FOR SATURDAY...WITH
A NORTHERLY FLOW. GULF MOISTURE TO THE SOUTHEAST SHOULD PUSH A
FEW CLOUDS INTO NE FL. AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR
SEASONAL AVERAGES.

.SHORT TERM /SAT NIGHT-MON/...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD FROM THE NORTH GULF COAST REGION SAT NIGHT
TO OVER NE FL/SE GA ON SUNDAY THEN INTO THE WRN ATLC ON MONDAY. DRY
AND SEASONABLY COOL WEATHER IS EXPECTED WITH SUNNY/CLEAR SKIES AND
LOWS 45-55 SAT NIGHT AND 50-60 SUN NIGHT. DAYTIME HIGHS AROUND 80
SUNDAY AND 80-85 RANGE ON MONDAY.

.LONG TERM /TUE-FRI/...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL SETTLE IN THE WRN ATLC NORTHEAST OF THE REGION
AND WILL START A LONG PERIOD OF WEAK ONSHORE FLOW. THIS WILL
GRADUALLY INCREASE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE TO THE POINT THAT ISOLD
SHOWERS OVER THE COASTAL WATERS MAY PUSH INTO THE I-95 CORRIDOR AND
ST JOHNS RIVER BASIN FROM WED THROUGH FRI. FOR NOW HAVE KEPT RAIN
CHANCES ON THE LOW SIDE AT 20% OR LESS AS ANY RAINFALL AMOUNTS
APPEAR LIGHT AT THIS TIME. MAX TEMPS WILL GENERALLY BE IN THE 80-85
DEGREE RANGE AND LOWS IN THE 50S INLAND/60S COAST/ST JOHNS RIVER
BASIN. NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER IMPACTS EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD.

&&

.AVIATION...

VFR CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THIS 06Z TAF PERIOD.

&&

.MARINE...

A LOW WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST OF THE REGION TONIGHT...WHICH
MAY CAUSE A LITTLE INCREASE IN WIND SPEEDS. OTHERWISE...HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BE THE PREVAILING WEATHER CONDITION THROUGH THE
WEEKEND. HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL MOVE TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE
AREA EARLY NEXT WEEK...LEADING TO A PERIOD OF ONSHORE FLOW...WHICH
WILL LAST THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT WEEK.

RIP CURRENTS: MODERATE RISK THROUGH SATURDAY.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
MIN RH VALUES EXPECTED TO BOTTOM OUT AROUND 30% ACROSS INLD SE GA
AND THE SUWANNEE RIVER VALLEY OF INLD NE FL...BUT WILL REMAIN JUST
ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS SO NO HEADLINES ARE EXPECTED.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  75  49  76  49 /   0   0   0   0
SSI  73  56  74  57 /   0   0   0   0
JAX  76  53  77  50 /   0   0   0   0
SGJ  75  60  75  57 /   0   0   0   0
GNV  77  51  77  47 /   0   0   0   0
OCF  79  52  77  48 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GA...NONE.
AM...NONE.
&&

$$

STRUBLE/HESS





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