Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Jacksonville, FL

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FXUS62 KJAX 290122
AFDJAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
922 PM EDT TUE JUL 28 2015

.UPDATE (REST OF TONIGHT)...
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM THAT HAS BEEN FOCUSED
ALONG THE STALLED FRONTAL BOUNDARY DRAPED W-E ACROSS CENTRAL
FLORIDA IS STARTING TO DRIFT NE ALONG THE BOUNDARY. SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DISSIPATED. A FEW SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN
THE AREAS OF FL SOUTH OF CLAY COUNTY THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING
HOURS. HI-RES GUIDANCE DEVELOPS FOG FROM JUST NORTH OF MARION
COUNTY NE TOWARDS THE SE GA COAST WHERE THERE IS SUFFICIENT
MOISTURE POOLING AND LIGHT WINDS...WHICH IS FAIRLY SIMILAR TO THE
FORECAST FROM LAST NIGHT. GIVEN THE STAGNANT AND SIMILAR WEATHER
PATTERNS OVER THE PAST FEW DAYS I THINK THE HI-RES GUIDANCE IS ON
THE RIGHT TRACK. HAVE PUT AREAS OF FOG IN THE FORECAST BEGINNING
AROUND 4 AM AND DISSIPATING AROUND DAWN.


&&

.AVIATION...
PREVAILING VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH MIDNIGHT LESS AT SGJ
WHICH MAY HAVE BRIEF PERIODS OF MVFR CIGS. LIGHT ENE WINDS WILL
BECOME NEAR CALM INLAND WITHIN THE NEXT HOUR. AFTER MIDNIGHT MVFR
CIGS MOST PROBABLE AT VQQ AND GNV UNDER PASSING MID/HIGH CLOUDS
WHICH WILL TEMPER SIGNIFICANT VSBY RESTRICTIONS. MVFR CIGS MOST
PROBABLE ALONG THE NE FL COAST TOWARD SUNRISE AS THE SURFACE LOW
MEANDERS OFFSHORE OF THE LOCAL ATLANTIC COAST WITH THE SURFACE
FRONT DRAPED ACROSS THE AREA.

&&

.MARINE...
BROAD TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE REMAINS ACROSS THE FL PENINSULA.
WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT AND VARIABLE THROUGH THE WEEK...WITH
AFTERNOON SEABREEZES NEAR THE COAST. CONTINUED THE GA/FL SPLIT TO
ACCOUNT FOR MORE ONSHORE FLOW ACROSS THE SE GA WATERS. WINDS WILL
VEER AND BECOME MORE SOUTH BY THE END OF THE WEEK AND WEEKEND AS A
COLD FRONT MOVES INTO THE SE U.S.

RIP CURRENTS: LOW RISK TONIGHT/ LOW TO MODERATE WEDNESDAY


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  74  95  75  94 /  20  30  30  30
SSI  75  88  77  88 /  10  30  20  30
JAX  75  91  74  91 /  10  40  30  40
SGJ  75  88  76  88 /  20  50  30  40
GNV  73  93  73  90 /  20  60  30  60
OCF  74  92  74  89 /  40  60  40  60

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GA...NONE.
AM...NONE.
&&

$$

WALSH/ENYEDI/GUILLET


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