Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Jacksonville, FL

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FXUS62 KJAX 291240
AFDJAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
830 AM EDT SAT AUG 29 2015

...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE THIS WEEKEND...

...TROPICAL MOISTURE MAY ENHANCE POTENTIAL FLOOD THREAT NEXT WEEK...

.UPDATE...

SCATTERED/NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND ISOLATED TSTMS PREVAIL ACROSS SE GA
THIS MORNING AS A SHORTWAVE ROTATES AROUND UPPER LEVEL LOW
PRESSURE ACROSS THE NORTH-CENTRAL GULF. WITH ADDITIONAL IMPULSES
CROSSING THE AREA LATER TODAY...ALONG WITH AMPLE DEEP LAYER
MOISTURE PER THE 2.00 INCH PRECIPITABLE WATER FROM THE 12Z KJAX
SOUNDING...WILL RESULT IN NUMEROUS TSTMS THIS AFTN. PER FCST
TRENDS AND LATEST HIGH RESOLUTION MODEL GUIDANCE...HAVE NUDGED
TIMING OF MAXIMUM POPS A BIT LATER...KEEPING POPS ACROSS NE FL
ISOLATED/SCATTERED THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS. HIGH PRECIP
COVERAGE WILL INHIBIT HEATING TODAY...RESULTING IN SLIGHTLY BELOW
NORMAL HIGHS IN THE MID/UPPER 80S FOR MOST AREAS...WITH PERHAPS
A FEW LOWER 90S FOR NORTH-CENTRAL FL WITH A BIT LESS PRECIP
COVERAGE.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR WILL GENERALLY PREVAIL INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS. WITH
SCATTERED/NUMEROUS TSTMS THIS AFTN...TEMPO GROUPS MAY BE REQUIRED
18-23Z. AREAS OF MVFR/LOCAL IFR WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE HEAVIEST
ACTIVITY.

&&

.MARINE...
E.SE WINDS 10-15 KNOTS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE WEEKEND. SEAS WILL
GRADUALLY INCREASE...WITH CAUTION LEVEL SEAS POSSIBLE OFFSHORE
TNGT/SUNDAY.

RIP CURRENTS: MODERATE RISK THROUGH AT LEAST SUNDAY WITH ONSHORE
FLOW.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  87  70  89  72 /  70  60  50  20
SSI  85  77  86  75 /  70  70  60  50
JAX  88  73  88  73 /  80  60  60  30
SGJ  87  75  86  76 /  70  50  70  50
GNV  89  72  90  72 /  70  40  60  20
OCF  90  72  90  72 /  70  40  70  30

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GA...NONE.
AM...NONE.
&&

$$

ALLEN/COMBS


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