National Weather Service Text Product Display

Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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FXUS64 KMAF 120541
AFDMAF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
1141 PM CST Wed Dec 11 2013

.DISCUSSION...

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR with widespread high clouds and a light S to SE wind through
the period. Some light showers may develop late in the TAF period.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 248 PM CST Wed Dec 11 2013/

DISCUSSION...
Despite a cold front moving through the region this morning,
temperatures have warmed into the 40s for much of the region this
afternoon. Due to the gusty north winds, however, conditions feel
about 10 degrees colder than the actual temperature reading. Wind
speed will gradually decrease near or after sunset as surface high
pressure settles in over the region. Low temps tonight will
generally be in the teens and 20s areawide.

A shortwave trough will move east across the Desert Southwest toward
the area tonight and tomorrow, resulting in increased Pacific
moisture and therefore increased cloud cover. As a result,
temperatures will only warm into the 40s Thursday afternoon. As the
trough gets closer, upper level forcing for ascent will increase
warranting a slight chance for rain showers beginning Thursday
afternoon mainly across the southwestern half of the FA. Rain
chances will continue overnight but shift higher PoPs across
southeastern half. Rain chances will decrease  from west to east
Friday morning as the upper low passes to the east. Friday will be
sunny with strong downsloping westerly winds developing due to a
surface low deepening over the Texas Panhandle. This will promote
temperatures in the 60s by peak heating. MOS guidance is hinting at
high winds in the Guadalupe Mountains throughout the day. Went ahead
and trended the forecast in that direction but will hold off on
putting high wind speeds in for now.

Another cold front is still expected to push through the area
Saturday morning, knocking temperatures back into the 50s. This will
be short-lived with southwest winds returning Sunday. Temperatures
look to trend warmer toward seasonal readings (upper 50s to low 60s)
through the beginning of the work week. Beyond tomorrow night, the
rest of the forecast will remain dry.

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...NONE.
TX...NONE.

&&

$$

National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office