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000
FXUS64 KMAF 011701
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1201 PM CDT SAT OCT 1 2016

.DISCUSSION...
See aviation discussion below.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR conditions are expected at the west Texas and southeast New
Mexico terminals the next 24 hours under mostly clear skies.
Winds will generally be south to southeast at 5 to 15 mph.

12

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 537 AM CDT SAT OCT 1 2016/

DISCUSSION...

The latest Aviation Discussion is included below.

AVIATION...

VFR conditions will prevail areawide today.  Scattered showers
and isolated thunderstorms will affect portions of the forecast
area, but will likely remain south of all terminals.

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 344 AM CDT SAT OCT 1 2016/

Upper ridging over the area will flatten this weekend as a
persistent upper low over the Ohio Valley lifts north and a
trough begins to dig along the West Coast. We saw a few showers
across the higher terrain and parts of SE NM yesterday with a weak
disturbance. Today it looks like the best chance for any
precipitation will be along and south of I-10. Weak ridging sticks
with us into Monday before mid level flow turns more southwesterly
ahead of the next upper trough. Our next best chance of rain,
albeit low, will come Monday night into Tuesday as the trough
lifts into the Plains. A few of the storms could be strong, but
will focus on that as we get closer to next week. A Pacific front
will pass through the area Tuesday bringing very little change
with it. A more significant front is possible later next week, but
models differ on strength and timing. Overall, the forecast is
looking fairly dry and warm through next week.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     61  87  62  87 /   0   0   0   0
Carlsbad                       57  87  59  87 /   0   0   0  10
Dryden                         62  85  63  87 /  10  10   0  10
Fort Stockton                  63  89  64  89 /  10   0   0  10
Guadalupe Pass                 56  81  60  81 /   0   0   0  10
Hobbs                          56  85  58  85 /   0   0   0  10
Marfa                          52  82  52  83 /  10  10   0  10
Midland Intl Airport           62  87  62  88 /   0   0   0  10
Odessa                         62  86  63  87 /   0   0   0  10
Wink                           60  90  62  90 /   0   0   0  10

&&

.MAF Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NM...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

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