Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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FXUS64 KMAF 190910
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
310 AM CST Sun Nov 19 2017

.DISCUSSION...As of 3:00 AM CST Sunday...Dry weather to continue
thru the Thanksgiving Holiday weekend.

Pretty mundane weather pattern is in store for West Texas and
Southeast New Mexico for the upcoming week. Quasi-zonal WNW flow
today will result in a dry cool day with temps several degrees
below normal (normal for MAF is 63).

A shortwave in Northwest Canada will dive southeast into the
Eastern US early in the week. This will result in a strong ridge
building from Baja California north thru the Intermountain West
and into British Columbia/Alberta. This will bring a dry northerly
flow to the Southern Plains. A weak cold front will clip the CWA
with little effect midweek. The large ridge in the west will
build east into the Southern Plains for the Thanksgiving Holiday
weekend. This will continue the dry weather with temps 10 to 15
degrees above normal from Thanksgiving right thru the weekend.

Looking further out in the extended...the medium range
GFS/ECMWF/GEM (Canadian) models keep the CWA dry for the next 10
days. GFS ensembles do offer a ray of hope for the beginning of
December as both the operational GFS and majority of the ensemble
members are showing a pattern change. However...this being two
weeks out the models can change quite a bit so we will see.

Strobin

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     60  37  69  44 /   0   0   0   0
Carlsbad                       58  32  72  43 /   0   0   0   0
Dryden                         61  37  71  44 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Stockton                  60  39  73  47 /   0   0   0   0
Guadalupe Pass                 53  39  65  45 /   0   0   0   0
Hobbs                          56  32  69  42 /   0   0   0   0
Marfa                          58  31  70  40 /   0   0   0   0
Midland Intl Airport           60  37  69  44 /   0   0   0   0
Odessa                         60  37  69  44 /   0   0   0   0
Wink                           60  34  73  42 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...Hard Freeze Warning until 8 AM MST this morning for Central Lea
     County-Eddy County Plains-Southern Lea County.

TX...Hard Freeze Warning until 9 AM CST this morning for Andrews-
     Dawson-Gaines-Loving-Winkler.

     Freeze Warning until 9 AM CST this morning for Ector-Glasscock-
     Martin-Midland-Ward.

&&

$$

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