Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Nashville, TN

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FXUS64 KOHX 261603
AFDOHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
1103 AM CDT THU MAY 26 2016

.UPDATE...
FOR MORNING DISCUSSION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

Really juicy air filtering into the area ahead of a convective
complex over SRN IL will help fuel isolated - scattered storms
this afternoon. With the complex to the northwest laying out from
west to east...it should take a while for storms to fire ahead of
that (southern Kentucky) and drift south in our CWA. Think the
20-24z time frame along and north of I-40 will have the best
chance for storms, especially over the northwest quadrant where
CAPE values are over 3000 J/kg. Any storms that form will produce
heavy rainfall, so we`ll have to watch them for training. Only
caveat is that the morning sounding had pretty dry air aloft from
ridging overhead so mostly likely our south/southeast areas may
remain dry.

Update out shortly.

&&

.AVIATION...
12Z TAF DISCUSSION.

A band of showers will move east of CSV early this morning. There
may be brief residual BR for CSV at 12Z, but generally, all Mid
TN sites should be VFR this morning with south winds 5-8kt. A few
TSRA may develop this afternoon, but nothing widespread or
organized, so not mentioning in TAFs at this time.


&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION......AL
AVIATION........13



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